Pascal Institute

Tools

Tools That Support Better Decisions

Pascal Institute publishes team ratings, game forecasts, and Power Rankings for everyone, and AnalytIQ is the app where members build and test their own models.

Together they bring ratings, forecasts, model evaluation, probability analysis, decision tracking, and capital-management concepts into a shared workflow. Standalone calculators and spreadsheets remain useful supporting resources, but they are no longer the center of the product strategy.

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Team Ratings

Compare current and historical team strength across supported sports, with every game forecast scored in public.

Published Models

Review model definitions, versions, evidence, and prospective performance.

Leaderboards

Compare forecasters and models using common metrics, supported samples, and uncertainty.

View Ratings View Models View Leaderboards

Supporting Decision Tools

  • Expected value: compare an estimated probability with the available payoff.
  • Probability and odds conversion: translate prices into comparable implied probabilities.
  • Capital allocation: connect estimated edge, uncertainty, and position size.
  • Forecast calibration: determine whether stated confidence matches observed outcomes.
  • Decision review: evaluate the process separately from the result.

These concepts are being incorporated into AnalytIQ as the product develops. Availability varies by feature and beta access.

Capital Management Toolkit

The original spreadsheet concept helped define how Pascal approaches expected value, position sizing, drawdowns, and decision records. That work now serves as a foundation for capital-management capabilities being developed within AnalytIQ.

Read the Capital Management Toolkit overview →

Tools Support Judgment

A model can estimate probability and a calculator can compute expected value. Neither removes uncertainty. Pascal tools are designed as decision support: their value depends on the evidence, assumptions, and discipline of the person using them.

The purpose of a tool is not to make uncertainty disappear. It is to help people reason about uncertainty more clearly.