Pascal Institute
Team Ratings
The Pascal Rating measures team strength from completed games. Each sport uses its own method, and every sport uses a 100-centered scale on which higher is better. In the NFL and college football, we turn the rating into a win probability for each game and score it against the closing line in public.
Sports
MLB Team Ratings
Descriptive MLB team ratings from season run scoring and run prevention, with records, location splits, and schedule strength.
NFL Team Ratings
Point-in-time, opponent-adjusted NFL team strength with offense, defense, records, and schedule strength.
College Football Team Ratings
Point-in-time, opponent-adjusted college football team strength with conference filters, records, and schedule strength.
NBA Team Ratings
Opponent-adjusted NBA offensive and defensive efficiency with recent form, records, and schedule strength.
Men's College Basketball Team Ratings · Unavailable in this deployment
Opponent-adjusted overall team strength for NCAA Division I men's basketball, separate from college football.
Available only once an approved data source and a published rating build are in place.
NHL Team Ratings
Point-in-time, opponent-adjusted NHL team strength from goals and shots, with offense, defense, W-L-OTL records, and schedule strength.
Before you use them
- Compare teams within one sport and one view; rating points do not carry across sports.
- A rating describes team strength. In the NFL and college football it converts to a calibrated win probability for each game, and each of those pages keeps a season record against the closing line. For MLB, the NBA, the NHL, and men's college basketball we do not publish game forecasts yet, and the rating is not itself a win probability.
- Ratings are not betting advice.
- Each table shows the date its data runs through. Ratings change when new completed games are processed, not on a fixed clock.
- In retrospective tests, higher-rated teams won more often, but individual games vary widely.
Turn a rating into a model you can test
A rating describes team strength. A personal workflow lets you define how evidence enters a model and test that exact version.
Published by Pascal Institute. Edited by Christopher Merry, Chief Decision Scientist.
Newsletter
Pascal Ratings Weekly
Each week, the latest team ratings, Pascal Power Rankings, and how our forecasts scored against the results. It is free, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe.
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