AnalytIQ
Start From the Pascal Rating and Test Your Own Ideas
AnalytIQ is the Pascal modeling app. Pascal Institute publishes the Pascal Rating, the Power Rankings, and Pick of the Day for everyone; AnalytIQ is where members go a step further. You start from the Pascal Rating, test your own adjustments to it against past seasons, and measure whether they make the forecasts better or worse.
Our purpose is not to manufacture certainty or promote a “best bet.” It is to make the reasoning and evidence behind a forecast easy to inspect, whether that forecast is ours or yours.
What You Can Do in AnalytIQ
Start From the Pascal Rating
A new model begins with the Pascal Rating. You choose the adjustments you want to test, the evidence your model uses, and the rules it follows when it picks a game. Each model is versioned, so a change never rewrites what an earlier version did.
Test It Against Past Seasons
Backtests replay a model over completed games using only what was known before each game, so you can see how it would have performed before you trust it with anything new.
Follow Its Live Performance
Once a model is active, its picks are recorded before the games start and scored afterward. Live results are kept separate from backtests, because a model that only looks good in hindsight has not yet shown anything.
Keep a Decision Journal
The journal records what you expected, what you decided, and what happened, so you can judge the process separately from the result.
Plans
The Free plan includes one active model, which is enough to start from the Pascal Rating and test an idea of your own. Pascal Pro adds up to ten active models, 25 historical backtests a month, retained results, and advanced diagnostics.
Payment is invite-only for now. AnalytIQ is in an invite-only beta while we learn what members find useful, confusing, or missing, and access is opened in small groups so feedback can shape the product.
How AnalytIQ Approaches a Forecast
Evidence → Forecast → Comparison → Decision → Outcome → Learning
A forecast is not the end of the process. AnalytIQ asks how a model's probabilities compare with the alternatives and with market prices, whether those probabilities remain calibrated, and what should change after outcomes arrive.
Finding an apparent edge is analytics. Determining whether the edge is reliable, and what to do with it, is Decision Science.
Built to Face the Evidence
Pascal Institute publishes research and case studies alongside the ratings and the app. Successful results are not treated as proof that every underlying decision was sound, and unsuccessful results are not automatically treated as evidence that the process failed.
Explore Pascal Research & Insights →
Responsible Use
AnalytIQ provides analytical and educational decision support. Models are uncertain, performance changes, and no forecast guarantees an outcome. Members remain responsible for their decisions and should never commit resources they cannot afford to lose.