Disclaimer

Last updated: October 7, 2026

Pascal Institute studies how to make better decisions under uncertainty. Everything we publish, including research, insights, Pascal Power Rankings, ratings, expected margins, win probabilities, tools, and guides, is provided for educational and informational purposes only.

Not Advice

Nothing on this website is financial, investment, legal, tax, or betting advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to place a wager, buy or sell an investment, or take any other specific action. Our content does not consider your circumstances, goals, or risk tolerance. Consult a qualified professional before making decisions that could affect your finances.

Forecasts Are Estimates

Ratings and forecasts are produced by statistical models. They are estimates, and individual forecasts will often be wrong. A probability describes uncertainty; it is not a promise about any single outcome. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy. We publish our methods and score our expectations against results so that their limitations are visible.

Expected margins and win probabilities are model expectations. They are not betting lines and are not intended to be used as betting lines.

Wagering

If you choose to wager, do so legally, responsibly, and only with money you can afford to lose. Sports wagering is not legal in every jurisdiction, and you are responsible for knowing and following the laws that apply to you. If gambling has become a problem for you or someone you know, help is available in the United States by calling or texting 1-800-GAMBLER.

No Guarantee of Accuracy

We work to keep our content accurate, but data sources can contain errors, and our analysis can contain mistakes. We correct errors when we find them, and we note corrections to published Power Rankings expectations on the page.

Your Responsibility

You are responsible for your own decisions and their outcomes. Pascal Institute is not liable for losses arising from the use of, or reliance on, anything published on this website. See our Terms of Use for more.