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Published by Pascal Institute. Edited by Christopher Merry, Chief Decision Scientist.
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Pascal Rating · NHL v1
Current ratings · 2026-27 season
100 = league-average team strength
Opponent-adjusted goals and shots on goal per game, half each, with last season as an early-season prior. Ten rating points are about half a goal per game. Ratings do not use goaltender news, injuries, or sportsbook markets. We do not publish NHL game forecasts yet, and the rating is not itself a win probability.
| 1 | COLColorado Avalanche
| 114.6 | 110.6 / 1 | 104.0 / 4 | 5–3–1 | +1.2 | 5–3–1 | 97.7 / 26 | 99.5 / 31 | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| 2 | CARCarolina Hurricanes
| 113.1 | 107.7 / 2 | 105.5 / 2 | 7–2–1 | +1.2 | 7–2–1 | 95.0 / 32 | 100.4 / 6 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | VGKVegas Golden Knights
| 108.2 | 103.6 / 7 | 104.6 / 3 | 8–2–0 | +1.8 | 8–2–0 | 95.1 / 31 | 99.7 / 25 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | UTAUtah Mammoth
| 107.8 | 104.0 / 5 | 103.9 / 6 | 7–3–0 | +0.7 | 7–3–0 | 99.8 / 19 | 99.6 / 29 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | TBLTampa Bay Lightning
| 107.8 | 103.9 / 6 | 103.9 / 5 | 6–2–0 | +0.5 | 6–2–0 | 97.8 / 25 | 100.3 / 14 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | MINMinnesota Wild
| 106.4 | 103.1 / 8 | 103.2 / 10 | 6–2–1 | +0.8 | 6–2–1 | 101.3 / 10 | 99.5 / 30 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | DALDallas Stars
| 105.8 | 96.8 / 25 | 109.0 / 1 | 4–3–1 | +0.9 | 4–3–1 | 100.6 / 15 | 99.6 / 26 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | EDMEdmonton Oilers
| 105.8 | 105.4 / 3 | 100.4 / 16 | 6–1–1 | +1.6 | 6–1–1 | 96.1 / 30 | 99.6 / 28 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | BOSBoston Bruins
| 103.7 | 102.8 / 9 | 101.0 / 14 | 7–2–0 | +1.7 | 7–2–0 | 99.3 / 22 | 100.3 / 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | WSHWashington Capitals
| 102.8 | 101.6 / 13 | 101.2 / 12 | 5–3–0 | +0.5 | 5–3–0 | 104.0 / 3 | 99.9 / 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | OTTOttawa Senators
| 102.4 | 98.9 / 18 | 103.6 / 9 | 6–3–0 | +0.1 | 6–3–0 | 97.1 / 28 | 100.7 / 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | FLAFlorida Panthers
| 102.3 | 100.9 / 15 | 101.5 / 11 | 5–2–2 | +0.6 | 5–2–2 | 98.6 / 23 | 100.5 / 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | PITPittsburgh Penguins
| 102.0 | 104.3 / 4 | 97.7 / 25 | 3–6–1 | -0.5 | 3–6–1 | 101.3 / 9 | 100.2 / 16 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | BUFBuffalo Sabres
| 101.2 | 102.4 / 10 | 98.8 / 22 | 4–3–2 | -0.8 | 4–3–2 | 100.2 / 17 | 100.3 / 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | NYINew York Islanders
| 101.1 | 97.3 / 24 | 103.7 / 8 | 4–3–1 | +0.8 | 4–3–1 | 96.3 / 29 | 100.8 / 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | NJDNew Jersey Devils
| 100.9 | 101.7 / 12 | 99.2 / 20 | 4–4–0 | -0.3 | 4–4–0 | 98.5 / 24 | 100.6 / 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | NYRNew York Rangers
| 100.1 | 96.4 / 28 | 103.8 / 7 | 7–3–1 | +0.8 | 7–2–1 | 101.0 / 11 | 100.3 / 11 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | MTLMontréal Canadiens
| 100.1 | 101.1 / 14 | 99.1 / 21 | 4–3–1 | -0.4 | 4–3–1 | 101.0 / 13 | 100.3 / 10 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | ANAAnaheim Ducks
| 98.6 | 102.0 / 11 | 96.7 / 26 | 4–4–0 | -0.3 | 4–4–0 | 99.5 / 20 | 99.6 / 27 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | CBJColumbus Blue Jackets
| 98.6 | 99.3 / 17 | 99.3 / 19 | 3–4–0 | -0.7 | 3–4–0 | 102.4 / 8 | 100.3 / 12 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 21 | DETDetroit Red Wings
| 97.2 | 97.7 / 22 | 99.5 / 18 | 3–3–2 | -0.5 | 3–3–2 | 97.5 / 27 | 100.8 / 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | LAKLos Angeles Kings
| 97.0 | 96.5 / 27 | 100.5 / 15 | 0–4–2 | -2.2 | 0–4–2 | 104.6 / 2 | 99.3 / 32 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 23 | STLSt. Louis Blues
| 96.8 | 98.1 / 21 | 98.7 / 23 | 3–4–1 | -0.1 | 3–4–1 | 100.5 / 16 | 100.1 / 17 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | NSHNashville Predators
| 96.4 | 98.6 / 19 | 97.8 / 24 | 3–2–3 | -0.1 | 3–2–3 | 100.8 / 14 | 100.1 / 18 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 25 | WPGWinnipeg Jets
| 96.4 | 96.7 / 26 | 99.7 / 17 | 4–2–2 | -0.1 | 4–2–2 | 102.8 / 6 | 99.9 / 21 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 26 | SEASeattle Kraken
| 94.9 | 98.6 / 20 | 96.4 / 27 | 5–3–1 | +0.4 | 5–3–1 | 99.5 / 21 | 99.8 / 24 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 27 | TORToronto Maple Leafs
| 93.8 | 100.4 / 16 | 93.4 / 31 | 4–4–2 | -0.1 | 4–4–2 | 102.6 / 7 | 100.4 / 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 28 | SJSSan Jose Sharks
| 92.9 | 97.7 / 23 | 95.2 / 28 | 4–4–1 | -1.0 | 4–4–1 | 99.9 / 18 | 99.9 / 22 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 29 | PHIPhiladelphia Flyers
| 91.8 | 90.8 / 32 | 101.0 / 13 | 2–6–3 | -1.7 | 2–5–3 | 104.8 / 1 | 100.2 / 15 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 30 | CGYCalgary Flames
| 89.9 | 94.9 / 30 | 95.0 / 29 | 2–6–0 | -2.5 | 2–6–0 | 101.0 / 12 | 99.9 / 19 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 31 | CHIChicago Blackhawks
| 86.6 | 92.3 / 31 | 94.3 / 30 | 3–6–0 | -1.7 | 3–6–0 | 103.6 / 4 | 100.3 / 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 32 | VANVancouver Canucks
| 85.0 | 95.2 / 29 | 89.8 / 32 | 2–7–1 | -1.5 | 2–7–1 | 103.5 / 5 | 99.8 / 23 |
Offense and Defense are the two opponent-adjusted halves of the rating on the same scale: Offense + Defense − 100 = Overall. Offense above 100 scores and shoots more than average against the teams faced; Defense above 100 allows less. Ten points on any of the three is about half a goal per game.
Each season starts from half of last season's rating, worth 30 games of evidence, so early ratings lean on last season and move toward this season's results as games are played. Shootouts count as ties in goals.
SoS played is the average rating shown here of opponents already faced; SoS remaining is the same for regular-season opponents still to play. 100 is an average schedule and rank 1 is the hardest. Overall already adjusts for opponents, so SoS is context, not an extra adjustment.
Records are wins, regulation losses, and overtime or shootout losses, and sort by points percentage. Records, goal differential, Last 10, and location splits come from final regular-season and playoff games. Expected W–L uses goals scored and allowed raised to 2.
The Track Record shows how the Pascal Rating has been scored in public, season by season and in retrospective studies.