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Published by Pascal Institute. Edited by Christopher Merry, Chief Decision Scientist.

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Pascal Rating · College Football v1

College Football Team Ratings

Name: College Football Team Ratings
Creator: Pascal Institute

Current ratings

100 = FBS reference average

The Pascal Rating estimates underlying team strength using point-in-time, opponent-adjusted margin and our own EPA evidence. It is a strength rating, not a résumé ranking, and it does not use polls or sportsbook markets. We convert it into a calibrated win probability for each game and compare that with the closing line.

Scored in public

We turn the rating into a win probability for every game before kickoff and score it against the closing line afterwards. Over 227 scored 2026 games, the rating's log loss is 0.577 against the closing line's 0.550 (lower is better), so the rating is behind the market so far.

2026 season · ranks are national · data through 2026-10-20. Expand a team for details; select a column to sort. Ranks use full stored precision; equal values share a rank.

Notre Dame

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 6.5–0.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 41.1 / 13.4
Remaining regular-season games:: 5

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	45.7	5.7
Away	3	2–1	36.7	21.3
Neutral	1	1–0	41.0	13.0
Conference

How to read these ratings

Overall combines two opponent-adjusted signals: scoring margin and play-by-play efficiency. Adj. margin is the scoring margin in points per game against an average FBS team. Offense and Defense are the efficiency halves; 100 is average, higher is better for both, and they share Overall's spread. Because Overall also includes margin, Offense and Defense do not add up to it.

SoS played is the average rating shown here of FBS opponents already faced; SoS remaining is the same for regular-season FBS opponents still to play. 100 is an average schedule and rank 1 is the hardest. FCS opponents are unrated, so they are counted separately rather than included. Overall already adjusts for opponents, so SoS is context, not an extra adjustment.

Records and splits come from final games; conference games are between teams in the same conference. Expected W–L uses points scored and allowed raised to 2.37.

Pascal Rating vs the closing line · 2026 season

Every completed game with a rating available before kickoff and a closing line, scored on the result. The closing line is the median no-vig moneyline across sportsbooks at kickoff. Lower log loss and Brier scores are better. The rating's lean is the side it rated higher than the market, settled at the closing price for one unit.

Track Record: every sport and study in one place

227 games scored. Not scored: 63 without a closing line, 220 without a pre-kickoff rating.

Log loss (lower is better): Pascal Rating0.577Closing line0.550
Brier score (lower is better): Pascal Rating0.198Closing line0.186
Picked the winner: Pascal Rating70.0%Closing line71.8%
Average gap to market: 6.9 pp

Indiana

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 6.5–0.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 36.6 / 12.9
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	5	4–1	37.8	11.6
Away	2	2–0	33.5	16.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	3–1	27.8	18.5
Non-conference	3	3–0	48.3	5.3

Big Ten

119.4

117.4 / 3

115.4 / 5

+28.8 / 3

6–1

3–1

105.2 / 26+ 1 FCS

104.7 / 48

Ohio State

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 6.5–0.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 39.3 / 13.4
Remaining regular-season games:: 5

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	4–0	50.5	10.3
Away	3	2–1	24.3	17.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	4–0	34.3	16.0
Non-conference	3	2–1	46.0	10.0

Big Ten

119.0

114.2 / 8

114.7 / 8

+29.5 / 1

6–1

4–0

102.1 / 54

110.2 / 11

Georgia

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 6.4–0.6
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 43.0 / 15.9
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	5	4–1	47.2	15.4
Away	2	2–0	32.5	17.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	5	4–1	33.6	17.6
Non-conference	2	2–0	66.5	11.5

SEC

118.4

118.7 / 1

111.4 / 13

+27.5 / 6

6–1

4–1

105.1 / 28+ 1 FCS

108.5 / 25

Miami

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.7–0.3
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 48.5 / 14.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	57.3	15.0
Away	3	3–0	39.7	13.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	4–0	40.5	18.5
Non-conference	2	2–0	64.5	5.0

ACC

118.2

115.0 / 7

113.9 / 10

+27.9 / 5

6–0

4–0

100.5 / 70+ 1 FCS

106.3 / 38

Alabama

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.7–1.3
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 39.3 / 21.4
Remaining regular-season games:: 5 (1 FCS)

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	41.0	21.0
Away	3	2–1	37.0	22.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	5	3–2	35.4	20.8
Non-conference	2	2–0	49.0	23.0

SEC

117.7

110.5 / 13

114.8 / 6

+28.2 / 4

5–2

3–2

108.5 / 5

109.2 / 19+ 1 FCS

LSU

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 6.3–0.7
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 40.4 / 15.9
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	5	5–0	45.0	8.8
Away	2	0–2	29.0	33.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	2–2	31.0	18.3
Non-conference	3	3–0	53.0	12.7

SEC

116.8

108.5 / 19

118.8 / 2

+25.5 / 7

5–2

2–2

106.7 / 12+ 1 FCS

111.6 / 5

Utah

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.5–0.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 40.2 / 14.8
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	4–0	45.8	12.0
Away	2	2–0	29.0	20.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	3–0	33.0	21.7
Non-conference	3	3–0	47.3	8.0

Big 12

114.9

116.6 / 4

108.2 / 28

+22.1 / 9

6–0

3–0

102.2 / 53+ 1 FCS

106.1 / 39

Texas

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.7–1.3
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 30.2 / 17.8
Remaining regular-season games:: 6

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	34.3	15.8
Away	1	1–0	20.0	17.0
Neutral	1	0–1	24.0	27.0
Conference	3	1–2	22.7	23.7
Non-conference	3	3–0	37.7	12.0

SEC

114.7

104.6 / 45

117.1 / 3

+23.2 / 8

4–2

1–2

108.5 / 4

109.8 / 13

Ole Miss

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.5–1.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 37.5 / 23.8
Remaining regular-season games:: 6 (1 FCS)

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	34.7	12.0
Away	2	1–1	40.0	34.5
Neutral	1	1–0	41.0	38.0
Conference	4	3–1	35.8	24.0
Non-conference	2	2–0	41.0	23.5

SEC

114.0

116.3 / 6

104.8 / 45

+21.7 / 10

5–1

3–1

105.1 / 27

111.7 / 3+ 1 FCS

Tennessee

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 6.1–0.9
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 33.4 / 14.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	5	4–1	33.0	12.4
Away	2	2–0	34.5	20.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	3–1	22.8	15.3
Non-conference	3	3–0	47.7	14.0

SEC

113.9

108.7 / 17

114.7 / 7

+20.7 / 12

6–1

3–1

106.0 / 18+ 1 FCS

109.2 / 20

Oregon

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.8–1.2
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 37.0 / 20.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	37.5	14.5
Away	2	1–1	36.0	33.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	24.3	19.3
Non-conference	3	2–1	49.7	22.0

Big Ten

113.6

106.4 / 33

115.5 / 4

+20.7 / 11

4–2

2–1

108.2 / 6+ 1 FCS

107.6 / 31

Texas Tech

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.2–0.8
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 37.8 / 17.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	4–0	40.8	18.8
Away	2	2–0	32.0	15.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	3–0	36.7	19.3
Non-conference	3	3–0	39.0	16.0

Big 12

112.8

107.9 / 22

112.2 / 12

+19.6 / 13

6–0

3–0

99.8 / 78+ 1 FCS

104.1 / 54

BYU

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.2–0.8
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 33.5 / 15.2
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	4–0	35.8	14.5
Away	2	2–0	29.0	16.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	3–0	23.0	12.3
Non-conference	3	3–0	44.0	18.0

Big 12

112.6

108.0 / 21

112.4 / 11

+19.2 / 14

6–0

3–0

106.4 / 14+ 1 FCS

105.1 / 47

Nebraska

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 6.2–0.8
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 35.6 / 15.4
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	5	4–1	40.8	15.6
Away	2	1–1	22.5	15.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	2–2	27.5	18.3
Non-conference	3	3–0	46.3	11.7

Big Ten

111.6

107.1 / 27

110.9 / 17

+17.9 / 15

5–2

2–2

102.4 / 51+ 1 FCS

107.3 / 34

Iowa

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.1–0.9
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 31.0 / 14.5
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	31.3	11.0
Away	2	2–0	30.5	21.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	25.0	24.7
Non-conference	3	3–0	37.0	4.3

Big Ten

111.1

106.6 / 30

111.2 / 14

+17.0 / 16

5–1

2–1

104.4 / 31+ 1 FCS

106.0 / 40

UCLA

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.2–0.8
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 35.5 / 16.2
Remaining regular-season games:: 6

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	32.3	18.3
Away	3	3–0	38.7	14.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	4–0	35.0	15.8
Non-conference	2	2–0	36.5	17.0

Big Ten

109.9

105.6 / 39

106.9 / 35

+16.3 / 17

6–0

4–0

102.0 / 56

102.4 / 65

Northwestern

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.0–1.0
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 33.5 / 17.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	4–0	38.5	13.0
Away	2	1–1	23.5	25.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	27.0	21.0
Non-conference	3	3–0	40.0	13.0

Big Ten

109.9

108.1 / 20

109.2 / 21

+14.4 / 23

5–1

2–1

102.7 / 44+ 1 FCS

107.6 / 30

USC

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.9–2.1
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 36.4 / 25.1
Remaining regular-season games:: 5

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	5	4–1	36.4	23.6
Away	2	2–0	36.5	29.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	3–1	31.3	30.0
Non-conference	3	3–0	43.3	18.7

Big Ten

109.8

116.4 / 5

99.1 / 75

+14.7 / 22

6–1

3–1

101.4 / 58

110.7 / 10

Wake Forest

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.8–1.2
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 37.4 / 19.4
Remaining regular-season games:: 5 (1 FCS)

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	38.3	17.3
Away	4	4–0	36.8	21.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	5	4–1	37.2	16.8
Non-conference	2	2–0	38.0	26.0

ACC

109.6

107.6 / 24

106.7 / 36

+15.0 / 21

6–1

4–1

100.6 / 69

103.5 / 59+ 1 FCS

Florida

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.8–2.2
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 39.6 / 28.3
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	47.3	22.5
Away	3	2–1	29.3	36.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	5	3–2	31.8	34.8
Non-conference	2	2–0	59.0	12.0

SEC

109.5

111.5 / 10

101.3 / 60

+15.3 / 19

5–2

3–2

108.1 / 7+ 1 FCS

109.1 / 21

Oklahoma

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.6–2.4
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 21.3 / 18.2
Remaining regular-season games:: 6

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	26.0	9.0
Away	2	0–2	11.5	29.0
Neutral	1	1–0	27.0	24.0
Conference	3	1–2	17.7	28.7
Non-conference	3	2–1	25.0	7.7

SEC

109.5

99.2 / 74

119.2 / 1

+13.4 / 29

3–3

1–2

105.9 / 19

109.7 / 15

Texas A&M

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.5–1.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 29.4 / 17.1
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	5	4–1	38.8	11.6
Away	2	0–2	6.0	31.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	1–3	16.8	25.0
Non-conference	3	3–0	46.3	6.7

SEC

109.4

103.8 / 51

109.5 / 20

+15.1 / 20

4–3

1–3

104.2 / 34+ 1 FCS

113.0 / 1

Missouri

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.3–1.7
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 31.1 / 19.6
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	4–0	38.3	13.5
Away	3	1–2	21.7	27.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	2–2	24.8	21.3
Non-conference	3	3–0	39.7	17.3

SEC

109.3

100.9 / 67

111.0 / 16

+15.4 / 18

5–2

2–2

106.2 / 17+ 1 FCS

110.8 / 8

South Carolina

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.3–1.7
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 37.7 / 25.5
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	2–2	42.5	21.3
Away	2	1–1	28.0	34.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	1–3	31.0	36.0
Non-conference	2	2–0	51.0	4.5

SEC

109.3

107.8 / 23

107.8 / 29

+13.8 / 26

3–3

1–3

105.4 / 24+ 1 FCS

109.4 / 17

Louisville

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.9–2.1
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 38.7 / 27.4
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	42.8	23.5
Away	2	1–1	31.0	28.5
Neutral	1	0–1	38.0	41.0
Conference	5	3–2	34.8	27.6
Non-conference	2	1–1	48.5	27.0

ACC

109.2

106.6 / 31

108.5 / 26

+13.9 / 25

4–3

3–2

105.9 / 20+ 1 FCS

102.6 / 64

Auburn

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.7–2.3
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 26.8 / 21.8
Remaining regular-season games:: 6 (1 FCS)

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	34.3	22.3
Away	2	1–1	20.5	24.0
Neutral	1	1–0	17.0	16.0
Conference	4	2–2	25.3	26.8
Non-conference	2	2–0	30.0	12.0

SEC

109.2

104.9 / 42

111.0 / 15

+13.6 / 27

4–2

2–2

106.3 / 15

111.6 / 4+ 1 FCS

Kentucky

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.5–2.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 32.7 / 25.9
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	35.5	28.3
Away	3	3–0	29.0	22.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	5	4–1	27.8	29.4
Non-conference	2	2–0	45.0	17.0

SEC

109.1

108.7 / 18

106.4 / 37

+13.5 / 28

6–1

4–1

109.5 / 1+ 1 FCS

108.7 / 24

Houston

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.7–1.3
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 39.3 / 21.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	4–0	43.0	18.8
Away	3	2–1	34.3	24.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	3–1	30.8	23.3
Non-conference	3	3–0	50.7	18.0

Big 12

108.6

109.3 / 16

101.8 / 57

+14.0 / 24

6–1

3–1

104.2 / 33+ 1 FCS

104.6 / 50

Wisconsin

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.6–1.4
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 27.5 / 16.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	40.3	7.3
Away	2	1–1	15.5	18.5
Neutral	1	0–1	13.0	41.0
Conference	3	2–1	20.7	13.3
Non-conference	3	2–1	34.3	20.0

Big Ten

107.9

103.0 / 56

110.6 / 18

+11.8 / 31

4–2

2–1

105.3 / 25+ 1 FCS

103.1 / 63

Penn State

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.1–1.9
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 28.7 / 18.9
Remaining regular-season games:: 5

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	2–2	35.8	17.0
Away	3	1–2	19.3	21.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	0–4	18.5	27.5
Non-conference	3	3–0	42.3	7.3

Big Ten

107.8

104.5 / 46

107.1 / 33

+12.3 / 30

3–4

0–4

100.8 / 64

100.5 / 68

Arizona

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.9–1.1
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 35.7 / 19.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	37.0	10.3
Away	3	2–1	34.3	27.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	34.3	22.0
Non-conference	3	3–0	37.0	16.0

Big 12

107.8

106.5 / 32

107.1 / 32

+11.4 / 32

5–1

2–1

98.9 / 85+ 1 FCS

107.8 / 28

Iowa State

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.1–1.9
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 29.7 / 21.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	38.8	22.5
Away	2	0–2	11.5	20.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	24.0	32.3
Non-conference	3	2–1	35.3	11.0

Big 12

107.3

104.8 / 44

109.6 / 19

+10.1 / 36

3–3

1–2

104.9 / 29+ 1 FCS

104.7 / 49

Florida State

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.0–3.0
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 31.6 / 27.9
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	32.5	14.5
Away	3	0–3	30.3	45.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	1–3	29.3	30.3
Non-conference	3	2–1	34.7	24.7

ACC

107.2

112.5 / 9

100.8 / 65

+10.1 / 37

3–4

1–3

107.4 / 10+ 1 FCS

103.9 / 55

Mississippi State

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.5–2.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 32.5 / 28.5
Remaining regular-season games:: 6 (1 FCS)

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	38.7	31.0
Away	3	2–1	26.3	26.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	2–2	23.8	36.3
Non-conference	2	2–0	50.0	13.0

SEC

107.0

110.9 / 12

99.6 / 71

+10.7 / 35

4–2

2–2

105.9 / 21

109.8 / 14+ 1 FCS

Pittsburgh

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.9–1.1
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 32.9 / 16.4
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	5	4–1	34.8	11.0
Away	2	1–1	28.0	30.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	2–2	25.0	23.5
Non-conference	3	3–0	43.3	7.0

ACC

106.8

106.0 / 36

105.9 / 39

+9.9 / 39

5–2

2–2

100.0 / 77+ 1 FCS

106.4 / 36

James Madison

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 6.4–0.6
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 42.9 / 16.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	4–0	50.3	13.8
Away	3	3–0	33.0	19.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	4–0	41.8	20.8
Non-conference	3	3–0	44.3	9.7

Sun Belt

106.7

107.3 / 25

101.3 / 61

+10.9 / 33

7–0

4–0

94.5 / 116+ 1 FCS

92.0 / 110

Baylor

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.1–0.9
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 30.0 / 14.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	27.3	13.0
Away	1	1–0	55.0	19.0
Neutral	1	0–1	16.0	17.0
Conference	3	2–1	28.0	16.3
Non-conference	3	2–1	32.0	13.0

Big 12

106.6

105.7 / 38

102.9 / 49

+10.7 / 34

4–2

2–1

102.7 / 45+ 1 FCS

108.2 / 26

Boise State

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.5–1.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 35.0 / 22.3
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	37.7	20.7
Away	3	2–1	32.3	24.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	2–0	37.5	24.5
Non-conference	4	3–1	33.8	21.3

Pac-12

106.5

106.8 / 29

104.1 / 46

+9.7 / 40

5–1

2–0

101.2 / 62+ 1 FCS

97.1 / 79

Michigan

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.1–1.9
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 22.7 / 16.2
Remaining regular-season games:: 6

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	5	4–1	24.4	15.4
Away	1	0–1	14.0	20.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	18.0	19.3
Non-conference	3	3–0	27.3	13.0

Big Ten

106.4

101.4 / 65

108.8 / 22

+9.9 / 38

4–2

1–2

101.4 / 60

110.2 / 12

TCU

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.0–1.0
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 24.0 / 12.2
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	34.7	10.3
Away	2	1–1	15.0	13.5
Neutral	1	0–1	10.0	15.0
Conference	3	1–2	13.3	14.7
Non-conference	3	2–1	34.7	9.7

Big 12

106.3

101.5 / 61

108.3 / 27

+9.7 / 41

3–3

1–2

103.9 / 36+ 1 FCS

107.5 / 33

Kansas State

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.8–1.2
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 35.5 / 20.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	5	4–1	37.4	17.8
Away	1	0–1	26.0	31.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	25.7	30.0
Non-conference	3	3–0	45.3	10.0

Big 12

105.7

106.3 / 34

100.9 / 63

+9.3 / 42

4–2

1–2

102.1 / 55+ 1 FCS

104.2 / 53

SMU

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.4–1.6
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 32.7 / 21.3
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	4–0	34.5	15.8
Away	2	1–1	29.0	32.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	3–1	26.5	23.5
Non-conference	2	2–0	45.0	17.0

ACC

105.1

106.0 / 35

100.9 / 64

+8.3 / 43

5–1

3–1

101.3 / 61+ 1 FCS

103.4 / 60

Duke

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.0–1.0
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 31.7 / 16.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	33.5	10.3
Away	2	1–1	28.0	27.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	26.7	19.7
Non-conference	3	3–0	36.7	12.3

ACC

104.8

103.8 / 52

102.4 / 55

+7.8 / 44

4–2

1–2

100.1 / 76+ 1 FCS

105.8 / 41

Kansas

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.0–2.0
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 32.0 / 24.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	42.3	14.7
Away	2	0–2	24.0	38.0
Neutral	1	0–1	17.0	24.0
Conference	3	0–3	21.7	33.3
Non-conference	3	2–1	42.3	14.7

Big 12

104.7

102.8 / 57

108.5 / 25

+5.8 / 50

2–4

0–3

103.2 / 40+ 1 FCS

105.2 / 45

New Mexico

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.8–0.2
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 39.7 / 10.5
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	56.3	7.0
Away	3	2–1	23.0	14.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	2–0	41.0	8.5
Non-conference	4	3–1	39.0	11.5

Mountain West

104.7

103.3 / 55

102.8 / 51

+7.7 / 45

5–1

2–0

92.6 / 129+ 1 FCS

94.6 / 97

Washington

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.3–2.7
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 27.9 / 22.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	5	3–2	27.2	21.6
Away	2	1–1	29.5	25.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	1–3	26.8	29.8
Non-conference	3	3–0	29.3	13.3

Big Ten

104.6

103.4 / 54

103.0 / 47

+7.3 / 46

4–3

1–3

102.5 / 50+ 1 FCS

110.8 / 9

Oregon State

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.7–1.3
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 42.7 / 23.1
Remaining regular-season games:: 4
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	47.5	24.0
Away	3	2–1	36.3	22.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	3–0	56.7	23.3
Non-conference	4	2–2	32.3	23.0

Pac-12

104.5

107.0 / 28

101.7 / 58

+6.1 / 47

5–2

3–0

97.4 / 92+ 1 FCS

99.9 / 71

North Carolina

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.7–2.3
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 23.5 / 19.2
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	2	1–1	30.5	20.0
Away	3	2–1	21.7	21.7
Neutral	1	1–0	15.0	10.0
Conference	3	2–1	21.7	21.7
Non-conference	3	2–1	25.3	16.7

ACC

104.4

101.4 / 64

108.5 / 24

+5.7 / 51

4–2

2–1

108.1 / 8+ 1 FCS

104.5 / 52

Illinois

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.5–2.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 31.8 / 27.8
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	2–2	33.5	22.0
Away	2	1–1	28.5	39.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	24.7	34.3
Non-conference	3	2–1	39.0	21.3

Big Ten

103.9

110.4 / 14

95.1 / 94

+6.0 / 48

3–3

1–2

103.8 / 37+ 1 FCS

108.9 / 22

Virginia

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.1–1.9
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 30.0 / 19.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	4–0	40.8	9.8
Away	2	0–2	10.0	30.5
Neutral	1	0–1	27.0	38.0
Conference	4	2–2	20.5	23.5
Non-conference	3	2–1	42.7	14.7

ACC

103.7

100.0 / 69

107.2 / 30

+5.2 / 52

4–3

2–2

100.1 / 75+ 1 FCS

103.8 / 57

Virginia Tech

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.5–1.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 37.1 / 21.1
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	46.0	20.8
Away	3	2–1	25.3	21.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	2–2	27.0	24.5
Non-conference	3	3–0	50.7	16.7

ACC

103.3

105.5 / 40

100.3 / 69

+4.8 / 56

5–2

2–2

99.0 / 84+ 1 FCS

104.5 / 51

North Texas

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.2–1.8
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 42.2 / 29.2
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	52.3	10.0
Away	3	1–2	32.0	48.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	2–0	47.5	27.0
Non-conference	4	2–2	39.5	30.3

American Athletic

103.3

110.9 / 11

91.5 / 113

+5.8 / 49

4–2

2–0

99.1 / 82+ 1 FCS

94.4 / 98

Oklahoma State

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.5–1.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 37.2 / 23.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	46.7	19.7
Away	3	1–2	27.7	27.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	38.3	29.0
Non-conference	3	2–1	36.0	18.3

Big 12

103.2

102.0 / 59

102.9 / 48

+4.9 / 55

4–2

2–1

104.0 / 35+ 1 FCS

105.2 / 46

UCF

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.3–1.7
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 31.7 / 21.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	46.0	16.3
Away	3	0–3	17.3	27.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	22.0	27.3
Non-conference	3	2–1	41.3	16.0

Big 12

103.2

98.8 / 77

105.7 / 40

+5.1 / 53

3–3

1–2

104.2 / 32+ 1 FCS

105.3 / 44

Clemson

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.1–2.9
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 22.3 / 21.5
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	25.0	17.0
Away	2	1–1	17.0	30.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	21.7	23.7
Non-conference	3	2–1	23.0	19.3

ACC

103.0

97.0 / 88

107.1 / 31

+5.0 / 54

4–2

2–1

106.5 / 13+ 1 FCS

103.9 / 56

Memphis

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.3–1.7
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 35.4 / 22.3
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	41.7	19.3
Away	4	2–2	30.8	24.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	38.0	17.3
Non-conference	4	3–1	33.5	26.0

American Athletic

102.6

101.6 / 60

105.5 / 41

+2.8 / 60

5–2

2–1

95.2 / 111+ 1 FCS

96.6 / 81

Arkansas

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.5–4.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 21.0 / 26.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	2–2	24.8	22.3
Away	3	1–2	16.0	32.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	1–3	18.0	31.0
Non-conference	3	2–1	25.0	21.0

SEC

102.5

104.0 / 49

99.7 / 70

+3.9 / 57

3–4

1–3

108.9 / 2+ 1 FCS

111.8 / 2

Purdue

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.4–3.6
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 31.3 / 32.3
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	5	2–3	31.4	31.4
Away	2	1–1	31.0	34.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	2–2	32.3	30.0
Non-conference	3	1–2	30.0	35.3

Big Ten

102.2

105.7 / 37

96.5 / 87

+3.8 / 58

3–4

2–2

108.0 / 9+ 1 FCS

108.8 / 23

Michigan State

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.8–4.2
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 21.3 / 25.4
Remaining regular-season games:: 5

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	5	2–3	27.2	24.0
Away	2	0–2	6.5	29.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	0–4	18.5	31.0
Non-conference	3	2–1	25.0	18.0

Big Ten

101.7

98.6 / 78

102.5 / 54

+3.2 / 59

2–5

0–4

105.5 / 23

106.4 / 35

Cincinnati

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.9–2.1
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 35.2 / 26.8
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	4–0	40.5	20.5
Away	2	0–2	24.5	39.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	26.7	35.0
Non-conference	3	3–0	43.7	18.7

Big 12

101.6

109.6 / 15

92.0 / 110

+2.6 / 62

4–2

1–2

100.7 / 67+ 1 FCS

109.5 / 16

Vanderbilt

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.6–4.4
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 23.6 / 29.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	5	3–2	27.2	29.8
Away	2	0–2	14.5	29.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	0–4	16.8	35.5
Non-conference	3	3–0	32.7	22.0

SEC

101.6

98.9 / 76

102.8 / 50

+2.7 / 61

3–4

0–4

105.8 / 22+ 1 FCS

111.4 / 6

NC State

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.6–2.4
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 33.0 / 27.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	39.8	24.3
Away	2	0–2	19.5	34.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	17.7	33.3
Non-conference	3	2–1	48.3	22.0

ACC

101.2

104.9 / 43

97.5 / 82

+1.5 / 63

3–3

1–2

103.3 / 39+ 1 FCS

100.7 / 67

Colorado

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.1–3.9
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 19.5 / 25.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	1–2	27.7	25.7
Away	3	1–2	11.3	25.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	0–3	14.7	26.3
Non-conference	3	2–1	24.3	25.0

Big 12

100.6

99.8 / 71

106.2 / 38

-0.9 / 72

2–4

0–3

108.9 / 3+ 1 FCS

103.7 / 58

North Dakota State

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 6.3–0.7
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 29.4 / 11.3
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	4–0	32.5	6.0
Away	3	2–1	25.3	18.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	3–1	26.0	15.5
Non-conference	3	3–0	34.0	5.7

Mountain West

100.5

93.1 / 104

108.7 / 23

+0.7 / 66

6–1

3–1

90.6 / 137+ 1 FCS

90.7 / 121

Minnesota

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.0–2.0
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 28.8 / 21.8
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	33.3	16.5
Away	2	1–1	20.0	32.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	20.0	26.3
Non-conference	3	2–1	37.7	17.3

Big Ten

100.3

93.4 / 103

105.3 / 42

+1.3 / 65

4–2

2–1

100.8 / 65+ 1 FCS

111.0 / 7

Georgia Tech

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.9–3.1
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 26.7 / 27.2
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	2–2	27.3	23.8
Away	2	0–2	25.5	34.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	26.3	31.0
Non-conference	3	1–2	27.0	23.3

ACC

100.2

102.1 / 58

99.3 / 74

-0.1 / 68

2–4

1–2

103.0 / 41+ 1 FCS

107.6 / 29

Army

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.7–1.3
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 34.8 / 20.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	39.8	18.0
Away	2	1–1	25.0	24.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	3–1	30.3	21.5
Non-conference	2	1–1	44.0	17.0

American Athletic

100.0

103.5 / 53

92.9 / 106

+1.4 / 64

4–2

3–1

96.3 / 102+ 1 FCS

95.7 / 88

Texas State

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.8–2.2
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 40.0 / 32.2
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	51.0	25.8
Away	2	0–2	18.0	45.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	1–1	47.5	29.0
Non-conference	4	2–2	36.3	33.8

Pac-12

100.0

104.2 / 48

95.7 / 89

-0.0 / 67

3–3

1–1

100.4 / 73+ 1 FCS

100.0 / 70

Arizona State

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.9–3.1
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 31.3 / 32.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	39.7	24.7
Away	2	0–2	22.5	50.5
Neutral	1	1–0	24.0	17.0
Conference	3	1–2	22.7	41.7
Non-conference	3	2–1	40.0	22.3

Big 12

99.8

99.7 / 72

101.4 / 59

-0.8 / 71

3–3

1–2

104.8 / 30+ 1 FCS

105.5 / 42

West Virginia

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.9–3.1
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 37.6 / 34.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	5	3–2	36.6	33.2
Away	1	0–1	42.0	45.0
Neutral	1	1–0	38.0	27.0
Conference	4	1–3	35.5	45.0
Non-conference	3	3–0	40.3	19.3

Big 12

99.5

107.2 / 26

90.8 / 118

-0.5 / 70

4–3

1–3

102.4 / 52+ 1 FCS

109.4 / 18

Tulane

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.8–3.2
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 20.5 / 21.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	27.7	20.7
Away	3	0–3	13.3	22.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	1–1	24.0	18.5
Non-conference	4	2–2	18.8	23.3

American Athletic

99.5

94.6 / 96

105.3 / 43

-0.9 / 73

3–3

1–1

99.2 / 81

94.9 / 94

South Florida

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.5–1.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 26.6 / 15.1
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	30.0	11.3
Away	3	2–1	22.0	20.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	21.7	24.0
Non-conference	4	4–0	30.3	8.5

American Athletic

99.5

98.1 / 80

100.4 / 66

-0.5 / 69

5–2

1–2

92.6 / 128+ 1 FCS

96.1 / 86

UTSA

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.2–2.8
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 32.3 / 27.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	4–0	43.3	29.8
Away	3	2–1	17.7	23.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	3–0	28.3	24.0
Non-conference	4	3–1	35.3	29.3

American Athletic

99.1

101.1 / 66

96.7 / 85

-1.2 / 74

6–1

3–0

98.3 / 86+ 1 FCS

96.3 / 84

Boston College

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.6–3.4
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 20.3 / 23.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	22.8	19.8
Away	2	0–2	15.5	29.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	19.0	22.3
Non-conference	3	2–1	21.7	23.7

ACC

98.9

94.3 / 100

106.9 / 34

-2.6 / 78

3–3

1–2

102.9 / 42+ 1 FCS

108.1 / 27

Liberty

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.1–0.9
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 31.2 / 15.3
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	36.7	13.7
Away	3	2–1	25.7	17.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	2–0	32.5	8.5
Non-conference	4	3–1	30.5	18.8

Conference USA

98.8

100.8 / 68

95.3 / 90

-1.2 / 75

5–1

2–0

91.4 / 135+ 1 FCS

89.9 / 126

Syracuse

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.7–2.3
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 31.7 / 25.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	1–2	36.7	19.3
Away	3	1–2	26.7	32.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	0–4	20.5	27.5
Non-conference	2	2–0	54.0	22.0

ACC

98.3

97.9 / 81

97.7 / 80

-1.9 / 76

2–4

0–4

102.6 / 47+ 1 FCS

105.4 / 43

Louisiana

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.2–1.8
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 30.0 / 19.3
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	4–0	28.8	11.8
Away	3	1–2	31.7	29.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	29.0	19.3
Non-conference	4	3–1	30.8	19.3

Sun Belt

97.9

97.2 / 87

100.4 / 67

-3.6 / 83

5–2

2–1

94.7 / 115+ 1 FCS

90.3 / 124

Rutgers

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.9–3.1
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 31.2 / 31.8
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	1–3	32.3	33.3
Away	2	1–1	29.0	29.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	29.0	39.7
Non-conference	3	1–2	33.3	24.0

Big Ten

97.8

103.9 / 50

91.8 / 112

-3.2 / 82

2–4

1–2

102.6 / 48+ 1 FCS

107.5 / 32

Toledo

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.1–1.9
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 36.3 / 23.6
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	40.3	24.3
Away	3	2–1	31.0	22.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	27.0	20.3
Non-conference	4	3–1	43.3	26.0

Mid-American

97.7

98.2 / 79

96.6 / 86

-3.0 / 80

5–2

2–1

91.8 / 132+ 1 FCS

88.2 / 133

Maryland

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.8–4.2
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 28.3 / 33.3
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	1–3	30.3	31.5
Away	3	1–2	25.7	35.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	0–4	18.0	46.0
Non-conference	3	2–1	42.0	16.3

Big Ten

97.5

95.3 / 92

99.4 / 73

-3.2 / 81

2–5

0–4

106.3 / 16+ 1 FCS

106.3 / 37

Louisiana Tech

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.0–2.0
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 33.3 / 24.5
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	47.7	22.0
Away	3	1–2	19.0	27.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	2–0	28.0	15.5
Non-conference	4	2–2	36.0	29.0

Sun Belt

97.5

94.0 / 102

98.9 / 76

-2.5 / 77

4–2

2–0

100.7 / 68+ 1 FCS

92.9 / 103

Air Force

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.5–1.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 30.8 / 19.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	30.3	19.5
Away	2	2–0	32.0	20.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	3–1	34.3	27.3
Non-conference	2	2–0	24.0	4.5

Mountain West

97.3

104.9 / 41

90.6 / 119

-4.3 / 84

5–1

3–1

94.2 / 119+ 1 FCS

93.9 / 100

Fresno State

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.6–2.4
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 27.6 / 20.9
Remaining regular-season games:: 4

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	39.3	21.7
Away	4	2–2	18.8	20.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	26.7	23.3
Non-conference	4	3–1	28.3	19.0

Pac-12

97.3

94.4 / 98

97.8 / 79

-2.8 / 79

4–3

1–2

94.4 / 117

97.8 / 74

UNLV

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.6–3.4
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 24.1 / 23.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 5

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	24.3	21.7
Away	4	2–2	24.0	25.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	21.7	18.0
Non-conference	4	2–2	26.0	28.0

Mountain West

97.0

94.3 / 99

101.2 / 62

-4.6 / 87

4–3

2–1

96.4 / 101

92.4 / 106

California

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.9–4.1
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 23.9 / 27.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	5	2–3	23.0	27.4
Away	2	1–1	26.0	28.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	2–2	15.8	25.8
Non-conference	3	1–2	34.7	30.3

ACC

96.9

97.6 / 85

97.0 / 84

-4.5 / 85

3–4

2–2

103.5 / 38+ 1 FCS

101.8 / 66

Western Michigan

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.0–2.0
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 25.0 / 16.9
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	31.3	17.7
Away	4	3–1	20.3	16.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	3–0	26.3	12.7
Non-conference	4	2–2	24.0	20.0

Mid-American

96.9

96.6 / 89

98.0 / 77

-4.6 / 86

5–2

3–0

94.3 / 118+ 1 FCS

89.5 / 129

Georgia State

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.4–1.6
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 36.5 / 24.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	45.3	11.3
Away	3	1–2	27.7	36.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	1–1	32.0	29.5
Non-conference	4	3–1	38.8	21.3

Sun Belt

96.4

99.7 / 73

95.1 / 96

-5.8 / 89

4–2

1–1

95.9 / 107+ 1 FCS

93.0 / 102

UConn

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.2–1.8
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 35.7 / 25.2
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	1–2	37.0	29.0
Away	3	2–1	34.3	21.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	0	—	—	—
Non-conference	6	3–3	35.7	25.2

FBS Independents

96.3

101.5 / 62

91.2 / 117

-5.1 / 88

3–3

—

93.7 / 124+ 1 FCS

96.3 / 82

Georgia Southern

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.7–3.3
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 24.4 / 23.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	1–2	27.7	23.0
Away	4	2–2	22.0	23.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	26.0	22.0
Non-conference	4	1–3	23.3	23.8

Sun Belt

95.9

99.0 / 75

95.2 / 92

-6.6 / 91

3–4

2–1

99.3 / 79+ 1 FCS

93.5 / 101

Washington State

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.3–4.7
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 20.1 / 27.1
Remaining regular-season games:: 4
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	1–2	26.0	22.3
Away	4	0–4	15.8	30.8
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	0–3	17.3	30.3
Non-conference	4	1–3	22.3	24.8

Pac-12

95.9

92.7 / 110

102.7 / 52

-7.0 / 93

1–6

0–3

102.6 / 49+ 1 FCS

97.9 / 72

Navy

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.3–2.7
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 28.2 / 25.8
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	2	2–0	38.0	20.5
Away	4	0–4	23.3	28.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	1–3	29.5	31.5
Non-conference	2	1–1	25.5	14.5

American Athletic

95.8

97.2 / 86

97.9 / 78

-7.0 / 94

2–4

1–3

95.0 / 112+ 1 FCS

100.4 / 69

Utah State

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 1.4–4.6
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 14.5 / 23.5
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	18.3	18.3
Away	3	0–3	10.7	28.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	1–1	17.5	26.5
Non-conference	4	1–3	13.0	22.0

Pac-12

95.7

90.1 / 122

102.6 / 53

-6.3 / 90

2–4

1–1

102.9 / 43+ 1 FCS

97.3 / 77

Ohio

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.8–2.2
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 30.4 / 22.1
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	31.7	16.0
Away	4	2–2	29.5	26.8
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	3–0	30.7	10.3
Non-conference	4	2–2	30.3	31.0

Mid-American

95.5

97.7 / 84

95.3 / 91

-6.8 / 92

5–2

3–0

91.3 / 136+ 1 FCS

89.0 / 131

Tulsa

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.5–2.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 29.0 / 22.4
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	36.7	18.3
Away	4	2–2	23.3	25.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	36.0	32.0
Non-conference	4	3–1	23.8	15.3

American Athletic

95.1

94.6 / 97

97.2 / 83

-7.2 / 95

4–3

1–2

96.5 / 99+ 1 FCS

95.0 / 93

East Carolina

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.9–3.1
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 23.5 / 23.8
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	31.3	16.0
Away	3	1–2	15.7	31.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	1–1	22.5	21.0
Non-conference	4	2–2	24.0	25.3

American Athletic

94.6

89.2 / 129

100.3 / 68

-7.3 / 96

3–3

1–1

96.7 / 98+ 1 FCS

95.2 / 92

South Alabama

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.4–2.6
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 38.8 / 34.5
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	44.0	28.3
Away	3	1–2	33.7	40.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	2–0	54.0	42.0
Non-conference	4	2–2	31.3	30.8

Sun Belt

94.4

104.5 / 47

85.2 / 135

-8.2 / 97

4–2

2–0

95.8 / 109+ 1 FCS

92.8 / 104

San Diego State

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.1–4.9
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 23.3 / 33.3
Remaining regular-season games:: 4
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	30.8	24.5
Away	3	0–3	13.3	45.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	23.7	39.3
Non-conference	4	1–3	23.0	28.8

Pac-12

93.9

90.7 / 120

99.5 / 72

-9.2 / 98

3–4

2–1

102.7 / 46+ 1 FCS

97.3 / 78

Florida International

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.0–2.0
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 19.7 / 14.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	25.0	8.7
Away	3	0–3	14.3	20.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	1–1	23.0	15.0
Non-conference	4	2–2	18.0	14.5

Conference USA

93.6

89.8 / 123

101.8 / 56

-10.2 / 100

3–3

1–1

93.2 / 125+ 1 FCS

89.9 / 127

100

Old Dominion

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 1.9–5.1
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 17.7 / 26.9
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	1–3	20.8	24.8
Away	3	1–2	13.7	29.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	1–3	13.8	28.5
Non-conference	3	1–2	23.0	24.7

Sun Belt

93.4

89.0 / 130

104.8 / 44

-11.6 / 104

2–5

1–3

98.2 / 87+ 1 FCS

92.2 / 109

101

Jacksonville State

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.2–2.8
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 27.3 / 22.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	4–0	32.5	17.8
Away	3	1–2	20.3	29.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	3–0	25.7	21.0
Non-conference	4	2–2	28.5	24.0

Conference USA

93.3

96.1 / 90

94.4 / 99

-10.6 / 101

5–2

3–0

94.0 / 121+ 1 FCS

88.6 / 132

102

Temple

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.1–3.9
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 25.7 / 28.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	5	1–4	23.0	26.8
Away	2	1–1	32.5	31.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	21.7	24.0
Non-conference	4	1–3	28.8	31.0

American Athletic

92.9

97.7 / 83

88.8 / 125

-10.2 / 99

2–5

1–2

97.6 / 91+ 1 FCS

94.6 / 96

103

Troy

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.8–3.2
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 24.3 / 25.5
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	37.7	24.0
Away	3	0–3	11.0	27.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	1–1	30.5	33.5
Non-conference	4	2–2	21.3	21.5

Sun Belt

92.8

94.2 / 101

94.8 / 97

-11.2 / 103

3–3

1–1

95.3 / 110+ 1 FCS

94.9 / 95

104

Arkansas State

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.6–3.4
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 27.4 / 26.6
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	39.3	25.7
Away	4	1–3	18.5	27.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	30.7	30.7
Non-conference	4	2–2	25.0	23.5

Sun Belt

92.7

95.4 / 91

93.0 / 105

-11.1 / 102

3–4

1–2

96.8 / 95+ 1 FCS

91.9 / 113

105

Nevada

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.4–2.6
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 26.0 / 23.5
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	1–2	29.7	23.3
Away	3	1–2	22.3	23.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	26.7	26.7
Non-conference	3	1–2	25.3	20.3

Mountain West

92.5

94.7 / 95

94.5 / 98

-11.9 / 108

2–4

1–2

91.4 / 134+ 1 FCS

96.3 / 83

106

Stanford

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 1.1–5.9
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 18.3 / 36.6
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	27.8	26.5
Away	3	0–3	5.7	50.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	1–3	12.5	41.0
Non-conference	3	2–1	26.0	30.7

ACC

92.4

97.8 / 82

91.4 / 114

-12.1 / 109

3–4

1–3

107.1 / 11+ 1 FCS

103.1 / 62

107

Florida Atlantic

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.4–2.6
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 35.0 / 31.5
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	40.0	16.7
Away	3	1–2	30.0	46.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	1–1	31.0	43.0
Non-conference	4	3–1	37.0	25.8

American Athletic

92.4

101.4 / 63

86.6 / 133

-11.9 / 105

4–2

1–1

96.2 / 104+ 1 FCS

96.7 / 80

108

App State

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 4.0–2.0
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 29.5 / 21.8
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	28.0	11.3
Away	3	2–1	31.0	32.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	1–1	19.0	21.0
Non-conference	4	3–1	34.8	22.3

Sun Belt

92.3

94.9 / 93

93.2 / 103

-11.9 / 107

4–2

1–1

92.8 / 126+ 1 FCS

94.0 / 99

109

Miami (OH)

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.7–3.3
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 26.9 / 25.6
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	30.8	16.5
Away	3	1–2	21.7	37.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	24.7	19.0
Non-conference	4	2–2	28.5	30.5

Mid-American

91.7

92.9 / 107

91.8 / 111

-11.9 / 106

4–3

2–1

93.8 / 122+ 1 FCS

91.3 / 117

110

Kennesaw State

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.8–3.2
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 22.3 / 23.5
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	1–2	30.0	19.3
Away	3	0–3	14.7	27.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	0–2	23.5	25.5
Non-conference	4	1–3	21.8	22.5

Conference USA

91.6

94.8 / 94

93.1 / 104

-13.3 / 111

1–5

0–2

96.7 / 96+ 1 FCS

90.7 / 122

111

UAB

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.3–3.7
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 23.3 / 24.6
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	4–0	28.3	17.8
Away	3	0–3	16.7	33.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	22.3	25.0
Non-conference	4	2–2	24.0	24.3

American Athletic

91.3

90.7 / 119

94.4 / 100

-12.8 / 110

4–3

2–1

96.1 / 105+ 1 FCS

95.8 / 87

112

Colorado State

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.3–3.7
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 35.7 / 43.2
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	2–2	35.5	33.5
Away	2	0–2	36.0	62.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	0–2	26.5	61.0
Non-conference	4	2–2	40.3	34.3

Pac-12

91.1

100.0 / 70

86.0 / 134

-13.8 / 112

2–4

0–2

101.0 / 63+ 1 FCS

97.8 / 73

113

San José State

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.4–3.6
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 21.4 / 21.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	1–2	17.7	20.7
Away	4	3–1	24.3	22.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	19.0	14.3
Non-conference	4	2–2	23.3	27.3

Mountain West

91.1

90.4 / 121

97.6 / 81

-14.3 / 113

4–3

2–1

92.8 / 127+ 1 FCS

96.1 / 85

114

Coastal Carolina

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.5–3.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 26.1 / 25.9
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	1–3	29.5	26.8
Away	3	1–2	21.7	24.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	27.7	29.0
Non-conference	4	1–3	25.0	23.5

Sun Belt

90.8

93.0 / 105

94.3 / 101

-14.8 / 115

2–5

1–2

94.1 / 120+ 1 FCS

97.4 / 76

115

Buffalo

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.8–4.2
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 21.4 / 25.6
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 2, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	23.5	20.8
Away	3	1–2	18.7	32.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	21.7	15.3
Non-conference	4	2–2	21.3	33.3

Mid-American

90.5

88.9 / 131

95.8 / 88

-14.4 / 114

4–3

2–1

96.7 / 97+ 2 FCS

87.3 / 135

116

Hawai'i

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 1.7–5.3
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 15.7 / 25.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 5

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	1–3	15.3	20.3
Away	3	0–3	16.3	31.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	0–4	10.5	22.3
Non-conference	3	1–2	22.7	28.7

Mountain West

90.5

90.9 / 117

95.2 / 93

-15.0 / 117

1–6

0–4

94.9 / 113

87.0 / 136

117

New Mexico State

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.7–3.3
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 23.7 / 25.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	34.3	23.0
Away	3	0–3	13.0	28.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	1–1	18.5	17.5
Non-conference	4	1–3	26.3	29.8

Conference USA

90.5

92.0 / 113

95.1 / 95

-15.4 / 118

2–4

1–1

97.2 / 93+ 1 FCS

90.2 / 125

118

Central Michigan

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 1.8–5.2
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 16.6 / 25.6
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	3–1	23.0	14.5
Away	3	0–3	8.0	40.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	23.0	23.0
Non-conference	4	2–2	11.8	27.5

Mid-American

90.2

92.7 / 111

91.3 / 116

-14.8 / 116

3–4

1–2

98.0 / 89+ 1 FCS

85.7 / 137

119

Western Kentucky

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.1–4.9
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 21.3 / 30.6
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	2	2–0	43.0	10.0
Away	5	1–4	12.6	38.8
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	21.0	16.7
Non-conference	4	1–3	21.5	41.0

Conference USA

89.9

93.0 / 106

92.4 / 108

-16.1 / 119

3–4

2–1

99.0 / 83+ 1 FCS

92.0 / 112

120

Delaware

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.4–3.6
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 22.8 / 26.8
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	26.0	17.0
Away	3	0–3	19.7	36.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	0–2	22.0	31.5
Non-conference	4	2–2	23.3	24.5

Conference USA

89.4

91.3 / 116

92.1 / 109

-16.2 / 120

2–4

0–2

96.3 / 103+ 1 FCS

91.1 / 119

121

Wyoming

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.0–4.0
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 18.3 / 20.9
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	29.7	15.3
Away	4	1–3	9.8	25.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	3–1	21.0	18.5
Non-conference	3	1–2	14.7	24.0

Mountain West

89.0

89.5 / 125

94.0 / 102

-17.0 / 121

4–3

3–1

91.4 / 133+ 1 FCS

95.6 / 89

122

Rice

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 1.5–5.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 17.0 / 29.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	1–3	20.8	21.3
Away	3	0–3	12.0	39.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	0–3	14.3	27.3
Non-conference	4	1–3	19.0	30.3

American Athletic

88.6

92.9 / 109

89.7 / 124

-17.6 / 122

1–6

0–3

100.4 / 72+ 1 FCS

97.6 / 75

123

Marshall

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 1.6–4.4
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 22.0 / 33.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	28.3	29.3
Away	3	1–2	15.7	38.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	0–2	19.0	36.0
Non-conference	4	3–1	23.5	32.5

Sun Belt

88.5

89.5 / 126

92.9 / 107

-17.6 / 123

3–3

0–2

95.9 / 108+ 1 FCS

92.4 / 107

124

Southern Miss

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.0–4.0
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 24.2 / 32.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	1–2	27.3	24.7
Away	3	0–3	21.0	40.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	0–2	23.5	39.0
Non-conference	4	1–3	24.5	29.5

Sun Belt

88.0

89.4 / 127

91.3 / 115

-18.2 / 124

1–5

0–2

98.1 / 88+ 1 FCS

95.3 / 90

125

Eastern Michigan

Rated games:: 8 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 3.1–4.9
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 21.5 / 25.9
Remaining regular-season games:: 4
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	2–2	23.0	20.3
Away	4	2–2	20.0	31.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	3–1	26.3	22.0
Non-conference	4	1–3	16.8	29.8

Mid-American

87.6

92.9 / 108

88.6 / 126

-19.4 / 127

4–4

3–1

92.0 / 131+ 1 FCS

91.5 / 116

126

Missouri State

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 1.9–4.1
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 22.2 / 30.5
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	32.0	21.7
Away	3	0–3	12.3	39.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	1–1	18.5	27.5
Non-conference	4	1–3	24.0	32.0

Conference USA

87.4

91.7 / 115

86.8 / 132

-18.7 / 125

2–4

1–1

96.9 / 94+ 1 FCS

91.9 / 114

127

Massachusetts

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 5.0–2.0
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 28.0 / 19.1
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 2, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	2–2	26.5	20.5
Away	3	2–1	30.0	17.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	1–3	21.5	22.3
Non-conference	3	3–0	36.7	15.0

Mid-American

87.3

89.6 / 124

89.9 / 122

-19.4 / 126

4–3

1–3

88.5 / 138+ 2 FCS

89.7 / 128

128

Bowling Green

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 1.6–5.4
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 18.0 / 29.6
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	1–3	22.0	19.0
Away	3	1–2	12.7	43.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	2–1	31.0	20.7
Non-conference	4	0–4	8.3	36.3

Mid-American

86.6

89.4 / 128

87.8 / 131

-19.7 / 128

2–5

2–1

94.8 / 114+ 1 FCS

91.2 / 118

129

Middle Tennessee

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.2–3.8
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 22.8 / 28.3
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	3–0	32.7	21.3
Away	3	0–3	13.0	35.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	1–1	23.0	26.5
Non-conference	4	2–2	22.8	29.3

Conference USA

86.6

92.0 / 112

88.4 / 127

-21.1 / 130

3–3

1–1

93.7 / 123+ 1 FCS

91.7 / 115

130

Sam Houston

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 2.2–3.8
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 19.5 / 24.5
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	1–2	26.3	13.0
Away	3	0–3	12.7	36.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	0–2	3.0	25.5
Non-conference	4	1–3	27.8	24.0

Conference USA

85.7

84.4 / 136

89.9 / 123

-20.6 / 129

1–5

0–2

97.9 / 90+ 1 FCS

90.5 / 123

131

Northern Illinois

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 0.6–5.4
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 14.2 / 35.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	2	0–2	15.5	28.0
Away	4	0–4	13.5	39.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	0–2	15.0	34.5
Non-conference	4	0–4	13.8	36.3

Mountain West

84.9

88.3 / 132

87.8 / 130

-23.1 / 131

0–6

0–2

100.3 / 74+ 1 FCS

92.3 / 108

132

Ball State

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 1.3–5.7
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 20.3 / 37.9
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	2	1–1	32.5	28.0
Away	5	1–4	15.4	41.8
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	23.0	32.0
Non-conference	4	1–3	18.3	42.3

Mid-American

84.2

91.8 / 114

83.1 / 137

-24.3 / 132

2–5

1–2

99.2 / 80+ 1 FCS

87.6 / 134

133

Charlotte

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 1.0–6.0
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 19.1 / 40.6
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	0–3	18.7	45.3
Away	4	1–3	19.5	37.0
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	18.7	46.7
Non-conference	4	0–4	19.5	36.0

American Athletic

84.1

85.1 / 133

90.4 / 120

-24.4 / 133

1–6

1–2

100.5 / 71+ 1 FCS

95.3 / 91

134

Akron

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 1.5–5.5
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 18.9 / 32.4
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	1–2	26.0	24.3
Away	4	0–4	13.5	38.5
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	0–3	18.0	33.3
Non-conference	4	1–3	19.5	31.8

Mid-American

83.9

90.7 / 118

84.2 / 136

-24.9 / 135

1–6

0–3

96.1 / 106+ 1 FCS

90.7 / 120

135

Kent State

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 0.6–6.4
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 12.0 / 32.0
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	2–1	24.0	13.7
Away	4	0–4	3.0	45.8
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	1–2	14.3	21.3
Non-conference	4	1–3	10.3	40.0

Mid-American

83.6

84.9 / 135

88.0 / 129

-24.7 / 134

2–5

1–2

100.7 / 66+ 1 FCS

84.9 / 138

136

UTEP

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 0.7–6.3
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 15.1 / 37.3
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	1–3	20.5	24.3
Away	3	0–3	8.0	54.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	3	0–3	10.3	38.3
Non-conference	4	1–3	18.8	36.5

Mountain West

82.5

85.0 / 134

88.4 / 128

-27.2 / 136

1–6

0–3

101.4 / 57+ 1 FCS

92.4 / 105

137

UL Monroe

Rated games:: 6 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 0.9–5.1
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 20.0 / 41.2
Remaining regular-season games:: 6
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	3	0–3	17.3	35.7
Away	3	0–3	22.7	46.7
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	2	0–2	17.5	38.0
Non-conference	4	0–4	21.3	42.8

Sun Belt

82.0

84.1 / 137

89.9 / 121

-28.4 / 137

0–6

0–2

96.5 / 100+ 1 FCS

92.0 / 111

138

Sacramento State

Rated games:: 7 · 2026 Week 7
Expected W–L:: 1.0–6.0
Points per game, scored / allowed:: 15.0 / 32.7
Remaining regular-season games:: 5
FCS games played:: 1, not included in schedule strength

Split	G	W–L	PF/G	PA/G
Home	4	1–3	18.8	28.5
Away	3	0–3	10.0	38.3
Neutral	0	—	—	—
Conference	4	0–4	10.0	37.3
Non-conference	3	1–2	21.7	26.7

Mid-American

74.7

76.6 / 138

80.4 / 138

-37.4 / 138

1–6

0–4

92.5 / 130+ 1 FCS

89.2 / 130

Rating versus closing line by week
Week	Games	Rating log loss	Market log loss	Lean record	Lean units
Week 4	55	0.520	0.459	14–41	-20.40 u
Week 5	56	0.515	0.501	24–32	-11.90 u
Week 6	57	0.618	0.600	23–34	+4.39 u
Week 7	59	0.649	0.633	24–35	+10.08 u

Pascal Rating vs the market · Week 8

Win probability from the market and the Pascal Rating. The market is the median no-vig moneyline across sportsbooks; after kickoff it is the closing line.

Middle Tennessee@Florida International
Tue, Oct 20, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 22.9%+320 77.1%-400
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -2.3 pp home vs market 25.2%fair +296 74.8%fair -296
Missouri State@Delaware
Tue, Oct 20, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 43.8%+120 56.2%-140
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +6.0 pp home vs market 37.8%fair +165 62.2%fair -165
South Alabama@Marshall
Tue, Oct 20, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 56.5%-143 43.5%+121
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -3.2 pp home vs market 59.8%fair -149 40.2%fair +149
New Mexico State@Sam Houston
Wed, Oct 21, 2026 · 8:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 57.3%-148 42.7%+125
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +0.6 pp home vs market 56.7%fair -131 43.3%fair +131
James Madison@App State
Thu, Oct 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 77.8%-440 22.2%+330
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -2.4 pp home vs market 80.2%fair -405 19.8%fair +405
Liberty@Kennesaw State
Thu, Oct 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 77.1%-405 22.9%+320
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +13.9 pp home vs market 63.2%fair -172 36.8%fair +172
East Carolina@Memphis
Thu, Oct 22, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 23.4%+312 76.6%-390
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +0.2 pp home vs market 23.2%fair +332 76.8%fair -332
Duke@Virginia
Fri, Oct 23, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Duke Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 47.4%+102 52.6%-122
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +1.1 pp home vs market 46.3%fair +116 53.7%fair -116
Massachusetts@UConn
Fri, Oct 23, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away UConn
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 10 books 15.8%+515 84.2%-725
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -5.0 pp home vs market 20.8%fair +381 79.2%fair -381
Army@Tulsa
Fri, Oct 23, 2026 · 8:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Army Tulsa
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 47.8%+100 52.2%-120
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -9.3 pp home vs market 57.1%fair -133 42.9%fair +133
Air Force@Wyoming
Fri, Oct 23, 2026 · 9:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 64.5%-205 35.5%+170
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -1.6 pp home vs market 66.0%fair -194 34.0%fair +194
NC State@Stanford
Fri, Oct 23, 2026 · 10:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 69.6%-265 30.4%+215
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +2.2 pp home vs market 67.4%fair -206 32.6%fair +206
LSU@Auburn
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source LSU Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 71.7%-290 28.3%+240
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +7.2 pp home vs market 64.5%fair -181 35.5%fair +181
Texas Tech@Cincinnati
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 78.1%-450 21.9%+335
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +4.8 pp home vs market 73.2%fair -274 26.8%fair +274
West Virginia@TCU
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away TCU
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 26.7%+260 73.3%-320
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +0.9 pp home vs market 25.8%fair +288 74.2%fair -288
California@SMU
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away SMU
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 10 books 11.3%+750 88.7%-1200
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -11.2 pp home vs market 22.5%fair +344 77.5%fair -344
Pittsburgh@Miami
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Miami
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 8.9%+979 91.1%-1800
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -7.4 pp home vs market 16.3%fair +514 83.7%fair -514
Indiana@Michigan
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 71.2%-285 28.8%+234
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -6.1 pp home vs market 77.3%fair -341 22.7%fair +341
Rutgers@Northwestern
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 14.8%+550 85.2%-750
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -0.4 pp home vs market 15.3%fair +555 84.7%fair -555
Rice@Florida Atlantic
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Rice Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 26.9%+258 73.1%-315
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -6.3 pp home vs market 33.2%fair +201 66.8%fair -201
Western Michigan@Toledo
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 41.3%+134 58.7%-155
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +0.2 pp home vs market 41.1%fair +143 58.9%fair -143
Baylor@Kansas
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 1:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 57.1%-145 42.9%+125
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +8.7 pp home vs market 48.4%fair +106 51.6%fair -106
Akron@Kent State
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 1:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Akron Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 42.6%+125 57.4%-150
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -1.6 pp home vs market 44.2%fair +126 55.8%fair -126
Miami (OH)@Central Michigan
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 1:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 55.1%-135 44.9%+114
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +7.8 pp home vs market 47.3%fair +111 52.7%fair -111
Oregon@Illinois
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 75.1%-360 24.9%+285
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +5.3 pp home vs market 69.7%fair -230 30.3%fair +230
Texas A&M@Alabama
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 17.5%+450 82.5%-600
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -4.9 pp home vs market 22.4%fair +346 77.6%fair -346
Oklahoma@Mississippi State
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 62.9%-190 37.1%+159
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +12.6 pp home vs market 50.3%fair -101 49.7%fair +101
Tennessee@South Carolina
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 45.2%+110 54.8%-137
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -11.1 pp home vs market 56.2%fair -129 43.8%fair +129
BYU@UCF
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source BYU UCF
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 69.1%-260 30.9%+210
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -0.1 pp home vs market 69.2%fair -225 30.8%fair +225
Boston College@Georgia Tech
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 38.3%+150 61.7%-182
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -1.4 pp home vs market 39.6%fair +152 60.4%fair -152
Iowa@Minnesota
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Iowa Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 70.1%-270 29.9%+222
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -2.3 pp home vs market 72.5%fair -263 27.5%fair +263
Michigan State@UCLA
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away UCLA
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 17.0%+465 83.0%-625
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -5.6 pp home vs market 22.7%fair +341 77.3%fair -341
North Texas@Navy
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Navy
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 54.3%-130 45.7%+110
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -9.7 pp home vs market 64.0%fair -177 36.0%fair +177
Hawai'i@Northern Illinois
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 63.9%-200 36.1%+165
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +5.0 pp home vs market 58.9%fair -143 41.1%fair +143
Sacramento State@Ball State
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 17.6%+446 82.4%-600
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -2.5 pp home vs market 20.1%fair +398 79.9%fair -398
Bowling Green@Buffalo
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 38.6%+150 61.4%-175
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +5.6 pp home vs market 33.0%fair +203 67.0%fair -203
Kansas State@Arizona State
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:45 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 59.9%-165 40.1%+140
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +0.3 pp home vs market 59.6%fair -147 40.4%fair +147
Eastern Michigan@Ohio
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 4:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Ohio
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 20.9%+357 79.1%-488
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -2.4 pp home vs market 23.3%fair +329 76.7%fair -329
UL Monroe@Troy
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 4:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Troy
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 15.7%+511 84.3%-710
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -1.8 pp home vs market 17.6%fair +469 82.4%fair -469
San José State@Nevada
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 5:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 34.9%+177 65.1%-205
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -4.5 pp home vs market 39.5%fair +153 60.5%fair -153
Louisiana@Southern Miss
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 5:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 76.6%-400 23.4%+310
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +6.5 pp home vs market 70.1%fair -235 29.9%fair +235
Old Dominion@Louisiana Tech
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 5:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 20.6%+365 79.4%-490
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -11.6 pp home vs market 32.2%fair +211 67.8%fair -211
Boise State@Washington State
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 6:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 80.9%-530 19.1%+403
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +8.7 pp home vs market 72.1%fair -259 27.9%fair +259
San Diego State@Colorado State
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 6:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 51.1%-115 48.9%-105
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +0.1 pp home vs market 51.0%fair -104 49.0%fair +104
Colorado@Oklahoma State
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 19.4%+396 80.6%-520
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -17.0 pp home vs market 36.4%fair +175 63.6%fair -175
Virginia Tech@Clemson
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 42.9%+125 57.1%-145
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -1.2 pp home vs market 44.1%fair +127 55.9%fair -127
Georgia State@Arkansas State
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 53.2%-125 46.8%+105
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -0.3 pp home vs market 53.5%fair -115 46.5%fair +115
Vanderbilt@Kentucky
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 21.7%+340 78.3%-450
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -2.4 pp home vs market 24.2%fair +314 75.8%fair -314
Ole Miss@Texas
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Texas
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 10 books 40.8%+136 59.2%-162
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -0.6 pp home vs market 41.3%fair +142 58.7%fair -142
Iowa State@Arizona
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 26.5%+263 73.5%-325
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -15.5 pp home vs market 42.0%fair +138 58.0%fair -138
Syracuse@North Carolina
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 26.1%+270 73.9%-325
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -1.3 pp home vs market 27.4%fair +265 72.6%fair -265
USC@Wisconsin
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source USC Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 57.9%-157 42.1%+125
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +9.4 pp home vs market 48.5%fair +106 51.5%fair -106
Utah State@Texas State
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 20.2%+370 79.8%-530
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -11.4 pp home vs market 31.6%fair +216 68.4%fair -216
UTSA@Tulane
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 8:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source UTSA Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 56.3%-144 43.7%+118
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +14.1 pp home vs market 42.2%fair +137 57.8%fair -137
North Dakota State@New Mexico
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 10:00 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books 35.7%+170 64.3%-200
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +3.5 pp home vs market 32.2%fair +211 67.8%fair -211
Houston@Utah
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 10:15 PM EDT
Win probability by source
Source Away Utah
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 10 books 32.0%+198 68.0%-245
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +5.1 pp home vs market 27.0%fair +271 73.0%fair -271

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	22.9%+320	77.1%-400
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -2.3 pp home vs market	25.2%fair +296	74.8%fair -296

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	43.8%+120	56.2%-140
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +6.0 pp home vs market	37.8%fair +165	62.2%fair -165

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	56.5%-143	43.5%+121
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -3.2 pp home vs market	59.8%fair -149	40.2%fair +149

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	57.3%-148	42.7%+125
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +0.6 pp home vs market	56.7%fair -131	43.3%fair +131

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	77.8%-440	22.2%+330
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -2.4 pp home vs market	80.2%fair -405	19.8%fair +405

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	77.1%-405	22.9%+320
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +13.9 pp home vs market	63.2%fair -172	36.8%fair +172

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	23.4%+312	76.6%-390
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +0.2 pp home vs market	23.2%fair +332	76.8%fair -332

Source	Duke	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	47.4%+102	52.6%-122
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +1.1 pp home vs market	46.3%fair +116	53.7%fair -116

Source	Away	UConn
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 10 books	15.8%+515	84.2%-725
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -5.0 pp home vs market	20.8%fair +381	79.2%fair -381

Source	Army	Tulsa
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	47.8%+100	52.2%-120
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -9.3 pp home vs market	57.1%fair -133	42.9%fair +133

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	64.5%-205	35.5%+170
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -1.6 pp home vs market	66.0%fair -194	34.0%fair +194

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	69.6%-265	30.4%+215
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +2.2 pp home vs market	67.4%fair -206	32.6%fair +206

Source	LSU	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	71.7%-290	28.3%+240
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +7.2 pp home vs market	64.5%fair -181	35.5%fair +181

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	78.1%-450	21.9%+335
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +4.8 pp home vs market	73.2%fair -274	26.8%fair +274

Source	Away	TCU
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	26.7%+260	73.3%-320
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +0.9 pp home vs market	25.8%fair +288	74.2%fair -288

Source	Away	SMU
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 10 books	11.3%+750	88.7%-1200
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -11.2 pp home vs market	22.5%fair +344	77.5%fair -344

Source	Away	Miami
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	8.9%+979	91.1%-1800
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -7.4 pp home vs market	16.3%fair +514	83.7%fair -514

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	71.2%-285	28.8%+234
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -6.1 pp home vs market	77.3%fair -341	22.7%fair +341

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	14.8%+550	85.2%-750
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -0.4 pp home vs market	15.3%fair +555	84.7%fair -555

Source	Rice	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	26.9%+258	73.1%-315
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -6.3 pp home vs market	33.2%fair +201	66.8%fair -201

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	41.3%+134	58.7%-155
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +0.2 pp home vs market	41.1%fair +143	58.9%fair -143

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	57.1%-145	42.9%+125
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +8.7 pp home vs market	48.4%fair +106	51.6%fair -106

Source	Akron	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	42.6%+125	57.4%-150
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -1.6 pp home vs market	44.2%fair +126	55.8%fair -126

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	55.1%-135	44.9%+114
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +7.8 pp home vs market	47.3%fair +111	52.7%fair -111

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	75.1%-360	24.9%+285
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +5.3 pp home vs market	69.7%fair -230	30.3%fair +230

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	17.5%+450	82.5%-600
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -4.9 pp home vs market	22.4%fair +346	77.6%fair -346

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	62.9%-190	37.1%+159
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · +12.6 pp home vs market	50.3%fair -101	49.7%fair +101

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	45.2%+110	54.8%-137
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -11.1 pp home vs market	56.2%fair -129	43.8%fair +129

Source	BYU	UCF
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	69.1%-260	30.9%+210
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -0.1 pp home vs market	69.2%fair -225	30.8%fair +225

Source	Away	Home
Market nowNo-vig consensus · 11 books	38.3%+150	61.7%-182
Pascal RatingCalibrated rating · -1.4 pp home vs market	39.6%fair +152	60.4%fair -152