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Published by Pascal Institute. Edited by Christopher Merry, Chief Decision Scientist.

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Pascal Rating · MLB raw v1

MLB Team Ratings

Current ratings

100 = league run-rate reference

Season scoring and run prevention relative to the league. Higher is better. These ratings are descriptive and unadjusted for parks and opponents. We do not publish MLB game forecasts yet, and the rating is not itself a win probability.

2026 season · 2429 games · data through 2026-10-06. Expand a team for details; select a column to sort. Ranks use full stored precision; equal values share a rank.

Milwaukee Brewers

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 103–59
Expected W–L:: 102.5–59.5
Runs scored / allowed:: 832 / 618
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 5.136 / 3.815

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	55–26	5.519	3.469
Away	81	48–33	4.753	4.160
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	35–17	5.192	4.058
Non-division	110	68–42	5.109	3.700

132.1

114.6 / 2

117.5 / 4

103–59

+1.32

8–2

100.6 / 20

—

63.3%

63.6%

+0.3 pp

Los Angeles Dodgers

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 100–62
Expected W–L:: 101.9–60.1
Runs scored / allowed:: 801 / 600
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.944 / 3.704

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	51–30	4.630	3.951
Away	81	49–32	5.259	3.457
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	33–19	4.769	3.519
Non-division	110	67–43	5.027	3.791

131.3

110.3 / 4

121.0 / 1

100–62

+1.24

8–2

99.4 / 27

—

62.9%

61.7%

-1.2 pp

New York Yankees

Games:: 161
Actual W–L:: 93–68
Expected W–L:: 95.5–65.5
Runs scored / allowed:: 739 / 601
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.590 / 3.733

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	80	46–34	4.763	4.037
Away	81	47–34	4.420	3.432
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	51	29–22	4.471	3.294
Non-division	110	64–46	4.645	3.936

122.5

102.4 / 8

120.0 / 2

93–68

+0.86

5–5

100.2 / 21

—

59.3%

57.8%

-1.6 pp

Chicago Cubs

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 89–73
Expected W–L:: 94.9–67.1
Runs scored / allowed:: 850 / 703
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 5.247 / 4.340

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	46–35	5.235	4.469
Away	81	43–38	5.259	4.210
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	26–26	5.096	4.635
Non-division	110	63–47	5.318	4.200

120.4

117.1 / 1

103.3 / 12

89–73

+0.91

5–5

101.7 / 13

—

58.6%

54.9%

-3.7 pp

Atlanta Braves

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 94–68
Expected W–L:: 93.5–68.5
Runs scored / allowed:: 742 / 626
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.580 / 3.864

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	52–29	4.778	3.901
Away	81	42–39	4.383	3.827
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	33–19	5.250	4.154
Non-division	110	61–49	4.264	3.727

118.2

102.2 / 9

116.0 / 5

94–68

+0.72

5–5

101.4 / 15

—

57.7%

58.0%

+0.3 pp

Boston Red Sox

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 87–75
Expected W–L:: 89.9–72.1
Runs scored / allowed:: 689 / 611
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.253 / 3.772

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	41–40	4.296	3.926
Away	81	46–35	4.210	3.617
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	25–27	3.673	3.750
Non-division	110	62–48	4.527	3.782

113.7

94.9 / 23

118.8 / 3

87–75

+0.48

5–5

101.2 / 18

—

55.5%

53.7%

-1.8 pp

Tampa Bay Rays

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 98–64
Expected W–L:: 90.2–71.8
Runs scored / allowed:: 736 / 650
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.543 / 4.012

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	55–26	4.605	3.975
Away	81	43–38	4.481	4.049
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	28–24	4.173	4.308
Non-division	110	70–40	4.718	3.873

113.1

101.4 / 12

111.7 / 6

98–64

+0.53

5–5

100.9 / 19

—

55.7%

60.5%

+4.8 pp

Detroit Tigers

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 76–86
Expected W–L:: 88.6–73.4
Runs scored / allowed:: 723 / 652
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.463 / 4.025

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	42–39	4.407	3.741
Away	81	34–47	4.519	4.309
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	18–34	3.788	4.577
Non-division	110	58–52	4.782	3.764

110.9

99.6 / 14

111.3 / 7

76–86

+0.44

4–6

99.5 / 26

—

54.7%

46.9%

-7.8 pp

Chicago White Sox

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 84–78
Expected W–L:: 86.5–75.5
Runs scored / allowed:: 776 / 720
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.790 / 4.444

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	48–33	4.938	4.037
Away	81	36–45	4.642	4.852
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	33–19	5.308	3.673
Non-division	110	51–59	4.545	4.809

107.7

106.9 / 5

100.8 / 15

84–78

+0.35

7–3

100.2 / 22

—

53.4%

51.9%

-1.6 pp

San Diego Padres

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 91–71
Expected W–L:: 85.3–76.7
Runs scored / allowed:: 722 / 681
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.457 / 4.204

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	51–30	4.259	3.790
Away	81	40–41	4.654	4.617
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	32–20	5.019	4.635
Non-division	110	59–51	4.191	4.000

106.1

99.5 / 16

106.6 / 9

91–71

+0.25

8–2

101.5 / 14

—

52.7%

56.2%

+3.5 pp

Pittsburgh Pirates

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 82–80
Expected W–L:: 83.8–78.2
Runs scored / allowed:: 767 / 739
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.735 / 4.562

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	44–37	5.099	4.815
Away	81	38–43	4.370	4.309
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	26–26	4.635	4.500
Non-division	110	56–54	4.782	4.591

103.9

105.7 / 6

98.2 / 19

82–80

+0.17

7–3

103.1 / 5

—

51.7%

50.6%

-1.1 pp

Cleveland Guardians

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 85–77
Expected W–L:: 82.2–79.8
Runs scored / allowed:: 678 / 667
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.185 / 4.117

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	41–40	4.160	4.309
Away	81	44–37	4.210	3.926
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	29–23	4.577	3.865
Non-division	110	56–54	4.000	4.236

102.2

93.4 / 24

108.8 / 8

85–77

+0.07

8–2

99.7 / 24

—

50.7%

52.5%

+1.7 pp

Philadelphia Phillies

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 88–74
Expected W–L:: 82.6–79.4
Runs scored / allowed:: 713 / 698
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.401 / 4.309

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	43–38	4.753	4.593
Away	81	45–36	4.049	4.025
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	28–24	4.462	4.481
Non-division	110	60–50	4.373	4.227

102.2

98.2 / 19

104.0 / 11

88–74

+0.09

4–6

102.4 / 9

—

51.0%

54.3%

+3.3 pp

Washington Nationals

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 77–85
Expected W–L:: 81.5–80.5
Runs scored / allowed:: 821 / 815
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 5.068 / 5.031

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	39–42	5.296	5.519
Away	81	38–43	4.840	4.543
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	18–34	4.385	5.250
Non-division	110	59–51	5.391	4.927

102.2

113.1 / 3

89.1 / 27

77–85

+0.04

6–4

102.3 / 10

—

50.3%

47.5%

-2.8 pp

Arizona Diamondbacks

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 86–76
Expected W–L:: 81.9–80.1
Runs scored / allowed:: 739 / 730
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.562 / 4.506

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	45–36	4.580	4.383
Away	81	41–40	4.543	4.630
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	32–20	5.346	4.000
Non-division	110	54–56	4.191	4.745

101.2

101.8 / 10

99.4 / 17

86–76

+0.06

6–4

101.9 / 12

—

50.6%

53.1%

+2.5 pp

Miami Marlins

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 80–82
Expected W–L:: 81.3–80.7
Runs scored / allowed:: 715 / 712
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.414 / 4.395

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	47–34	4.457	3.951
Away	81	33–48	4.370	4.840
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	24–28	4.327	4.750
Non-division	110	56–54	4.455	4.227

100.5

98.5 / 18

102.0 / 13

80–82

+0.02

5–5

102.5 / 8

—

50.2%

49.4%

-0.8 pp

Baltimore Orioles

Games:: 161
Actual W–L:: 79–82
Expected W–L:: 78.4–82.6
Runs scored / allowed:: 718 / 739
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.460 / 4.590

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	39–42	4.198	4.333
Away	80	40–40	4.725	4.850
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	51	22–29	4.353	4.961
Non-division	110	57–53	4.509	4.418

97.1

99.5 / 15

97.6 / 20

79–82

-0.13

6–4

102.2 / 11

—

48.7%

49.1%

+0.4 pp

St. Louis Cardinals

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 77–85
Expected W–L:: 78.1–83.9
Runs scored / allowed:: 720 / 749
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.444 / 4.623

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	38–43	3.827	4.605
Away	81	39–42	5.062	4.642
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	24–28	4.423	4.269
Non-division	110	53–57	4.455	4.791

96.1

99.2 / 17

96.9 / 21

77–85

-0.18

2–8

103.2 / 4

—

48.2%

47.5%

-0.7 pp

Houston Astros

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 81–81
Expected W–L:: 77.8–84.2
Runs scored / allowed:: 734 / 766
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.531 / 4.728

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	39–42	4.247	4.630
Away	81	42–39	4.815	4.827
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	26–26	5.173	4.942
Non-division	110	55–55	4.227	4.627

95.9

101.1 / 13

94.8 / 24

81–81

-0.20

5–5

97.9 / 30

—

48.0%

50.0%

+2.0 pp

New York Mets

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 74–88
Expected W–L:: 77.7–84.3
Runs scored / allowed:: 699 / 731
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.315 / 4.512

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	36–45	4.123	4.543
Away	81	38–43	4.506	4.481
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	27–25	4.923	4.712
Non-division	110	47–63	4.027	4.418

95.6

96.3 / 20

99.3 / 18

74–88

-0.20

5–5

103.4 / 3

—

48.0%

45.7%

-2.3 pp

Toronto Blue Jays

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 79–83
Expected W–L:: 75.9–86.1
Runs scored / allowed:: 648 / 694
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.000 / 4.284

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	42–39	3.963	4.333
Away	81	37–44	4.037	4.235
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	25–27	3.846	4.192
Non-division	110	54–56	4.073	4.327

93.9

89.3 / 30

104.6 / 10

79–83

-0.28

4–6

102.5 / 7

—

46.9%

48.8%

+1.9 pp

Texas Rangers

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 80–82
Expected W–L:: 76.1–85.9
Runs scored / allowed:: 673 / 719
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.154 / 4.438

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	45–36	4.136	4.000
Away	81	35–46	4.173	4.877
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	23–29	3.865	4.462
Non-division	110	57–53	4.291	4.427

93.7

92.7 / 25

101.0 / 14

80–82

-0.28

4–6

98.4 / 29

—

47.0%

49.4%

+2.4 pp

Minnesota Twins

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 77–85
Expected W–L:: 75.4–86.6
Runs scored / allowed:: 739 / 797
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.562 / 4.920

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	42–39	4.605	4.593
Away	81	35–46	4.519	5.247
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	25–27	4.096	5.038
Non-division	110	52–58	4.782	4.864

92.9

101.8 / 10

91.1 / 25

77–85

-0.36

6–4

101.3 / 17

—

46.5%

47.5%

+1.0 pp

Seattle Mariners

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 76–86
Expected W–L:: 74.8–87.2
Runs scored / allowed:: 664 / 722
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.099 / 4.457

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	43–38	3.901	4.037
Away	81	33–48	4.296	4.877
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	28–24	4.981	4.038
Non-division	110	48–62	3.682	4.655

92.0

91.5 / 28

100.5 / 16

76–86

-0.36

6–4

98.6 / 28

—

46.2%

46.9%

+0.7 pp

San Francisco Giants

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 65–97
Expected W–L:: 71.6–90.4
Runs scored / allowed:: 669 / 760
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.130 / 4.691

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	37–44	4.062	4.407
Away	81	28–53	4.198	4.975
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	17–35	4.038	5.192
Non-division	110	48–62	4.173	4.455

87.7

92.2 / 26

95.5 / 23

65–97

-0.56

2–8

102.7 / 6

—

44.2%

40.1%

-4.1 pp

Los Angeles Angels

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 62–100
Expected W–L:: 70.8–91.2
Runs scored / allowed:: 655 / 752
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.043 / 4.642

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	34–47	3.543	4.333
Away	81	28–53	4.543	4.951
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	25–27	4.712	4.423
Non-division	110	37–73	3.727	4.745

86.8

90.2 / 29

96.5 / 22

62–100

-0.60

4–6

99.6 / 25

—

43.7%

38.3%

-5.4 pp

Kansas City Royals

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 69–93
Expected W–L:: 69.2–92.8
Runs scored / allowed:: 690 / 810
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.259 / 5.000

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	41–40	4.901	5.074
Away	81	28–53	3.617	4.926
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	25–27	4.058	4.673
Non-division	110	44–66	4.355	5.155

84.7

95.1 / 22

89.6 / 26

69–93

-0.74

2–8

101.4 / 16

—

42.7%

42.6%

-0.1 pp

Colorado Rockies

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 58–104
Expected W–L:: 64.4–97.6
Runs scored / allowed:: 752 / 944
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.642 / 5.827

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	32–49	5.012	6.222
Away	81	26–55	4.272	5.432
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	16–36	4.442	6.269
Non-division	110	42–68	4.736	5.618

80.5

103.6 / 7

76.9 / 30

58–104

-1.19

2–8

103.6 / 2

—

39.7%

35.8%

-3.9 pp

Cincinnati Reds

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 75–87
Expected W–L:: 65.2–96.8
Runs scored / allowed:: 666 / 826
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.111 / 5.099

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	38–43	4.012	4.741
Away	81	37–44	4.210	5.457
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	19–33	4.231	6.115
Non-division	110	56–54	4.055	4.618

79.6

91.7 / 27

87.9 / 28

75–87

-0.99

4–6

105.0 / 1

—

40.3%

46.3%

+6.0 pp

Athletics

Games:: 162
Actual W–L:: 64–98
Expected W–L:: 59.8–102.2
Runs scored / allowed:: 699 / 937
Runs per game, scored / allowed:: 4.315 / 5.784

Split	G	W–L	RS/G	RA/G
Home	81	32–49	4.901	6.938
Away	81	32–49	3.728	4.630
Neutral	0	0–0	—	—
Division	52	28–24	4.692	5.558
Non-division	110	36–74	4.136	5.891

73.8

96.3 / 20

77.5 / 29

64–98

-1.47

3–7

99.7 / 23

—

36.9%

39.5%

+2.6 pp

Rating data and publication details

Data cutoff: 2026-10-06 18:41:29.143Z

Cutoff is 335.9 hours ago. Games and corrections after this cutoff are not included.

Published: 2026-10-06 18:41:33.705Z

Reviewed inventory: 2430 games · 1 excluded nonfinal or nonregular-season games · League runs per team-game: 4.481

Link to this exact batch

How to read these ratings

Offense = 100 × runs scored per game ÷ league runs per team-game. Defense = 100 × league runs per team-game ÷ runs allowed per game. Overall = Offense + Defense − 100.

Defense 110 means about 9.1% fewer runs allowed than the league rate. Overall is a composite index, not a percentage increase in wins.

Expected W% uses runs scored and allowed raised to 1.83. Record Delta is actual minus expected W%, in percentage points. These are descriptive ratings, not game win probabilities.

Expanded team details report home, away, and neutral-site records and scoring rates when the accepted batch has matching location evidence, plus division and non-division records.

SoS played is the average Overall rating shown here of opponents in the batch's games; SoS remaining is the same for regular-season games scheduled after the data cutoff. 100 is an average schedule and rank 1 is the hardest. Unlike Overall, which is unadjusted, SoS is descriptive context that uses opponents' current ratings.

Fewer than 10 games is a small sample. A dash means no games or an undefined denominator, as explained in team details.

Method: mlb-team-ratings-raw-v1. All displayed teams come from the same immutable batch.

The Track Record shows how the Pascal Rating has been scored in public, season by season and in retrospective studies.