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Verified forward forecast

Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies

f5baea33-a654-4bce-bc7f-8d42746ddcc2

Forecast
Sep 19, 2026, 11:18 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 19, 2026, 5:10 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
36.4%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 11 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
Definition hash
f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    1.88876454847867
    Transformed
    1.88876454847867
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    0.0944382274239335
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -5
    Transformed
    -5
    Weight
    0.3
    Contribution
    -1.5
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    offense.power_diff
    Version
    mlb-offense-rates-v1
    Raw
    -0.0182967081710564
    Transformed
    -0.0182967081710564
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    -0.0009148354085528201
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    0
    Transformed
    0
    Weight
    0.25
    Contribution
    0
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    runs
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -5.56595365418895
    Transformed
    -5.56595365418895
    Weight
    0.15
    Contribution
    -0.8348930481283424
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    0.0616905153175997
    Transformed
    0.0616905153175997
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    0.01233810306351994
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Sep 20, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Loss
    Scores
    3-5
    Correction
    —