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Verified forward forecast

Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners

f388467d-b6b0-4a28-9643-cb1199541682

Forecast
Sep 24, 2026, 3:18 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 25, 2026, 7:10 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
56.6%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 7 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
Definition hash
f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -0.00582862839941001
    Transformed
    -0.00582862839941001
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    -0.0002914314199705005
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    5
    Transformed
    5
    Weight
    0.3
    Contribution
    1.5
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    offense.power_diff
    Version
    mlb-offense-rates-v1
    Raw
    0.00872133286271495
    Transformed
    0.00872133286271495
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    0.0004360666431357475
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -2
    Transformed
    -2
    Weight
    0.25
    Contribution
    -0.5
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    runs
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    0.35570469798658
    Transformed
    0.35570469798658
    Weight
    0.15
    Contribution
    0.053355704697987
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    0.0238373131106726
    Transformed
    0.0238373131106726
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    0.00476746262213452
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Sep 26, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Loss
    Scores
    7-5
    Correction
    —