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Verified forward forecast

Toronto Blue Jays @ Texas Rangers

cdd64c61-be45-422e-b6c3-74953fc0f140

Forecast
Sep 20, 2026, 11:17 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 20, 2026, 11:35 AM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
61.8%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 11 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
Definition hash
f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -2.86712236232512
    Transformed
    -2.86712236232512
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    -0.143356118116256
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    5
    Transformed
    5
    Weight
    0.3
    Contribution
    1.5
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    offense.power_diff
    Version
    mlb-offense-rates-v1
    Raw
    0.0207242808567489
    Transformed
    0.0207242808567489
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    0.0010362140428374449
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    1
    Transformed
    1
    Weight
    0.25
    Contribution
    0.25
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    runs
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    2.14814814814815
    Transformed
    2.14814814814815
    Weight
    0.15
    Contribution
    0.3222222222222225
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    -0.0000977920192414827
    Transformed
    -0.0000977920192414827
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    -0.00001955840384829654
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Sep 20, 2026, 3:17 PM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Loss
    Scores
    7-2
    Correction
    —