Verified forward forecast
Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals
ca1ec428-fa55-4899-8529-0916d1755f14
Forecast
Sep 18, 2026, 1:43 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 19, 2026, 4:15 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
44.7%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 5 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- My Strategy 001 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
- Definition hash
- f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -1.75056945029817
- Transformed
- -1.75056945029817
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- -0.0875284725149085
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -5
- Transformed
- -5
- Weight
- 0.3
- Contribution
- -1.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- offense.power_diff
- Version
- mlb-offense-rates-v1
- Raw
- 0.0414436634834157
- Transformed
- 0.0414436634834157
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- 0.002072183174170785
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 1
- Transformed
- 1
- Weight
- 0.25
- Contribution
- 0.25
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- runs
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 3.15985130111524
- Transformed
- 3.15985130111524
- Weight
- 0.15
- Contribution
- 0.473977695167286
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- 0.0162376313807712
- Transformed
- 0.0162376313807712
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- 0.0032475262761542407
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 20, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Win
- Scores
- 8-5
- Correction
- —