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Verified forward forecast

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees

c0eded0f-2cae-496e-9b0d-4680e334ab1a

Forecast
Sep 26, 2026, 3:18 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 27, 2026, 10:05 AM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
40.4%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Pending
Result
Pending
Market basis
Market median · 6 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
Definition hash
f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -3.17856459809065
    Transformed
    -3.17856459809065
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    -0.1589282299045325
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -5
    Transformed
    -5
    Weight
    0.3
    Contribution
    -1.5
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    offense.power_diff
    Version
    mlb-offense-rates-v1
    Raw
    -0.0179949299087162
    Transformed
    -0.0179949299087162
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    -0.00089974649543581
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    1
    Transformed
    1
    Weight
    0.25
    Contribution
    0.25
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    runs
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -0.828239006113196
    Transformed
    -0.828239006113196
    Weight
    0.15
    Contribution
    -0.12423585091697939
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    -0.0970594312281405
    Transformed
    -0.0970594312281405
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    -0.0194118862456281
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

No evidence recorded.