Verified forward forecast
New York Mets @ Texas Rangers
b2b9dc39-06f0-4c06-a93a-e82c9475a34b
Forecast
Sep 21, 2026, 3:18 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 22, 2026, 5:05 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
42.6%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 11 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- My Strategy 001 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
- Definition hash
- f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 2.95304741011724
- Transformed
- 2.95304741011724
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- 0.147652370505862
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -5
- Transformed
- -5
- Weight
- 0.3
- Contribution
- -1.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- offense.power_diff
- Version
- mlb-offense-rates-v1
- Raw
- 0.00276124262620608
- Transformed
- 0.00276124262620608
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- 0.00013806213131030401
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 0
- Transformed
- 0
- Weight
- 0.25
- Contribution
- 0
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- runs
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 1.10294117647058
- Transformed
- 1.10294117647058
- Weight
- 0.15
- Contribution
- 0.165441176470587
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- 0.00260157380273318
- Transformed
- 0.00260157380273318
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- 0.000520314760546636
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 23, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Win
- Scores
- 6-3
- Correction
- —