Verified forward forecast
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
b15955c7-9c26-4867-9d32-88b85e7b3778
Forecast
Sep 18, 2026, 1:43 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 19, 2026, 3:40 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
48.3%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 6 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- My Strategy 001 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
- Definition hash
- f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -2.97791129130336
- Transformed
- -2.97791129130336
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- -0.148895564565168
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 5
- Transformed
- 5
- Weight
- 0.3
- Contribution
- 1.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- offense.power_diff
- Version
- mlb-offense-rates-v1
- Raw
- -0.0129872031514352
- Transformed
- -0.0129872031514352
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- -0.0006493601575717601
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -1
- Transformed
- -1
- Weight
- 0.25
- Contribution
- -0.25
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- runs
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -8.89763779527559
- Transformed
- -8.89763779527559
- Weight
- 0.15
- Contribution
- -1.3346456692913387
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- -0.197124430360249
- Transformed
- -0.197124430360249
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -0.0394248860720498
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 20, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Loss
- Scores
- 5-2
- Correction
- —