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Verified forward forecast

Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians

ae54a742-553c-454d-9c69-b7c27db3701f

Forecast
Sep 18, 2026, 1:43 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 19, 2026, 3:10 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
60.8%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 6 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
Definition hash
f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    6.7551642034509
    Transformed
    6.7551642034509
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    0.33775821017254504
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    5
    Transformed
    5
    Weight
    0.3
    Contribution
    1.5
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    offense.power_diff
    Version
    mlb-offense-rates-v1
    Raw
    -0.0214303038051315
    Transformed
    -0.0214303038051315
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    -0.0010715151902565751
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    1
    Transformed
    1
    Weight
    0.25
    Contribution
    0.25
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    runs
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -2.36220472440945
    Transformed
    -2.36220472440945
    Weight
    0.15
    Contribution
    -0.35433070866141747
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    0.11601919341284
    Transformed
    0.11601919341284
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    0.023203838682568003
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Sep 20, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Win
    Scores
    6-12
    Correction
    —