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Verified forward forecast

Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins

a8bf047b-6781-4d57-8846-b7df3848e48e

Forecast
Sep 26, 2026, 3:18 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 27, 2026, 12:10 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
41.3%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 5 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
Definition hash
f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    3.22313356768014
    Transformed
    3.22313356768014
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    0.16115667838400702
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -5
    Transformed
    -5
    Weight
    0.3
    Contribution
    -1.5
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    offense.power_diff
    Version
    mlb-offense-rates-v1
    Raw
    0.0162750941838262
    Transformed
    0.0162750941838262
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    0.0008137547091913101
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -1
    Transformed
    -1
    Weight
    0.25
    Contribution
    -0.25
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    runs
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    1.10940218849138
    Transformed
    1.10940218849138
    Weight
    0.15
    Contribution
    0.166410328273707
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    0.0815490157382975
    Transformed
    0.0815490157382975
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    0.0163098031476595
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Sep 27, 2026, 3:17 PM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Loss
    Scores
    3-5
    Correction
    —