Verified forward forecast
Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals
a522f7d0-7f4d-421e-9121-380d0fd01f60
Forecast
Sep 26, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 26, 2026, 4:10 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
39.1%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 11 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- My Strategy 001 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
- Definition hash
- f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 8.16916781358877
- Transformed
- 8.16916781358877
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- 0.4084583906794385
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -5
- Transformed
- -5
- Weight
- 0.3
- Contribution
- -1.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- offense.power_diff
- Version
- mlb-offense-rates-v1
- Raw
- -0.0149030001520714
- Transformed
- -0.0149030001520714
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- -0.0007451500076035701
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -2
- Transformed
- -2
- Weight
- 0.25
- Contribution
- -0.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- runs
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -1.25925925925926
- Transformed
- -1.25925925925926
- Weight
- 0.15
- Contribution
- -0.188888888888889
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- 0.0661233207872537
- Transformed
- 0.0661233207872537
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- 0.013224664157450742
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 27, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Win
- Scores
- 11-5
- Correction
- —