Verified forward forecast
Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles
9d7adece-c27f-41b2-b847-c9bc7f6cc9ff
Forecast
Sep 21, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 21, 2026, 3:35 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
39.6%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 11 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- My Strategy 001 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
- Definition hash
- f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 0.934716455348908
- Transformed
- 0.934716455348908
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- 0.0467358227674454
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -5
- Transformed
- -5
- Weight
- 0.3
- Contribution
- -1.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- offense.power_diff
- Version
- mlb-offense-rates-v1
- Raw
- -0.0283104497259674
- Transformed
- -0.0283104497259674
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- -0.00141552248629837
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 2
- Transformed
- 2
- Weight
- 0.25
- Contribution
- 0.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- runs
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -4.84848484848485
- Transformed
- -4.84848484848485
- Weight
- 0.15
- Contribution
- -0.7272727272727275
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- -0.0129802101304194
- Transformed
- -0.0129802101304194
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -0.00259604202608388
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 22, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Loss
- Scores
- 3-4
- Correction
- —