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Verified forward forecast

Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros

98335913-6610-4904-a54d-2f2e3e953122

Forecast
Sep 19, 2026, 11:18 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 20, 2026, 11:10 AM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
57.0%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 3 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
Definition hash
f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -3.59699022109756
    Transformed
    -3.59699022109756
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    -0.179849511054878
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    5
    Transformed
    5
    Weight
    0.3
    Contribution
    1.5
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    offense.power_diff
    Version
    mlb-offense-rates-v1
    Raw
    0.00317321903189649
    Transformed
    0.00317321903189649
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    0.0001586609515948245
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    0
    Transformed
    0
    Weight
    0.25
    Contribution
    0
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    runs
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -1.14416221033868
    Transformed
    -1.14416221033868
    Weight
    0.15
    Contribution
    -0.17162433155080198
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    -0.121034346927795
    Transformed
    -0.121034346927795
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    -0.024206869385559
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Sep 20, 2026, 3:17 PM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Loss
    Scores
    4-2
    Correction
    —