Verified forward forecast
Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners
90e133b4-2d8c-4033-a01b-9fe74a5c942d
Forecast
Sep 23, 2026, 3:18 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 23, 2026, 7:10 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
53.1%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 7 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- My Strategy 001 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
- Definition hash
- f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -1.68280420423494
- Transformed
- -1.68280420423494
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- -0.084140210211747
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 5
- Transformed
- 5
- Weight
- 0.3
- Contribution
- 1.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- offense.power_diff
- Version
- mlb-offense-rates-v1
- Raw
- -0.0203373810686654
- Transformed
- -0.0203373810686654
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- -0.00101686905343327
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -1
- Transformed
- -1
- Weight
- 0.25
- Contribution
- -0.25
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- runs
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -4.48529411764705
- Transformed
- -4.48529411764705
- Weight
- 0.15
- Contribution
- -0.6727941176470574
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- -0.00935846885639424
- Transformed
- -0.00935846885639424
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -0.001871693771278848
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 24, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Win
- Scores
- 5-6
- Correction
- —