Verified forward forecast
Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies
8d51d6d3-4af1-4d30-a344-dcc59d6eb72d
Forecast
Sep 26, 2026, 3:18 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 27, 2026, 12:05 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
42.1%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 6 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- My Strategy 001 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
- Definition hash
- f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 1.86976959938817
- Transformed
- 1.86976959938817
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- 0.09348847996940851
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -5
- Transformed
- -5
- Weight
- 0.3
- Contribution
- -1.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- offense.power_diff
- Version
- mlb-offense-rates-v1
- Raw
- -0.0162775431381811
- Transformed
- -0.0162775431381811
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- -0.000813877156909055
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 0
- Transformed
- 0
- Weight
- 0.25
- Contribution
- 0
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- runs
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 0.846303035283812
- Transformed
- 0.846303035283812
- Weight
- 0.15
- Contribution
- 0.12694545529257178
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- 0.0440991761148622
- Transformed
- 0.0440991761148622
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- 0.00881983522297244
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 27, 2026, 3:17 PM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Loss
- Scores
- 3-7
- Correction
- —