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Verified forward forecast

St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers

75ce2cd9-39f7-44e7-b19f-7601c330baf8

Forecast
Sep 24, 2026, 3:18 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 25, 2026, 4:40 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
35.6%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 8 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
Definition hash
f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -4.95560009822319
    Transformed
    -4.95560009822319
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    -0.2477800049111595
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -5
    Transformed
    -5
    Weight
    0.3
    Contribution
    -1.5
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    offense.power_diff
    Version
    mlb-offense-rates-v1
    Raw
    -0.0000728343366148965
    Transformed
    -0.0000728343366148965
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    -0.000003641716830744825
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    0
    Transformed
    0
    Weight
    0.25
    Contribution
    0
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    runs
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -3.91468300730615
    Transformed
    -3.91468300730615
    Weight
    0.15
    Contribution
    -0.5872024510959225
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    -0.148594486815292
    Transformed
    -0.148594486815292
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    -0.0297188973630584
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Sep 26, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Loss
    Scores
    4-8
    Correction
    —