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Verified forward forecast

Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox

70d70734-99d3-4349-8857-2f60e3a6c41a

Forecast
Oct 6, 2026, 3:17 PM PDT
Locked
Oct 7, 2026, 1:00 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
65.9%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 11 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
Definition hash
f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -2.92123698318703
    Transformed
    -2.92123698318703
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    -0.1460618491593515
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    5
    Transformed
    5
    Weight
    0.3
    Contribution
    1.5
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    offense.power_diff
    Version
    mlb-offense-rates-v1
    Raw
    0.0333420534549822
    Transformed
    0.0333420534549822
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    0.00166710267274911
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    1
    Transformed
    1
    Weight
    0.25
    Contribution
    0.25
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    runs
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    6.86116139813397
    Transformed
    6.86116139813397
    Weight
    0.15
    Contribution
    1.0291742097200955
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    0.0327182139928111
    Transformed
    0.0327182139928111
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    0.00654364279856222
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Oct 8, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Loss
    Scores
    9-3
    Correction
    —