Verified forward forecast
Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians
678a6567-941e-4764-a5e1-7659f49de7d4
Forecast
Oct 16, 2026, 11:17 AM PDT
Locked
Oct 16, 2026, 5:00 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
56.8%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 11 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- My Strategy 001 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
- Definition hash
- f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 6.68417086449314
- Transformed
- 6.68417086449314
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- 0.33420854322465704
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 5
- Transformed
- 5
- Weight
- 0.3
- Contribution
- 1.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- offense.power_diff
- Version
- mlb-offense-rates-v1
- Raw
- -0.00641475982470968
- Transformed
- -0.00641475982470968
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- -0.000320737991235484
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -1
- Transformed
- -1
- Weight
- 0.25
- Contribution
- -0.25
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- runs
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -3.20441988950276
- Transformed
- -3.20441988950276
- Weight
- 0.15
- Contribution
- -0.48066298342541397
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- -0.0486352175395267
- Transformed
- -0.0486352175395267
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -0.00972704350790534
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Oct 19, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Loss
- Scores
- 3-1
- Correction
- —