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Verified forward forecast

Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians

46e4f59d-d69b-4a79-a3ee-a17e9e93e9ac

Forecast
Oct 17, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
Locked
Oct 17, 2026, 5:00 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
51.5%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 11 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
Definition hash
f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    10
    Transformed
    10
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    0.5
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    5
    Transformed
    5
    Weight
    0.3
    Contribution
    1.5
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    offense.power_diff
    Version
    mlb-offense-rates-v1
    Raw
    -0.00641475982470968
    Transformed
    -0.00641475982470968
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    -0.000320737991235484
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -1
    Transformed
    -1
    Weight
    0.25
    Contribution
    -0.25
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    runs
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -10
    Transformed
    -10
    Weight
    0.15
    Contribution
    -1.5
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    -0.0486352175395267
    Transformed
    -0.0486352175395267
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    -0.00972704350790534
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Oct 18, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Loss
    Scores
    7-3
    Correction
    —