Verified forward forecast
Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians
3528e2e9-0b26-43e9-9948-d66f8b59957a
Forecast
Sep 18, 2026, 2:09 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 18, 2026, 4:10 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
36.3%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 10 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- My Strategy 001 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
- Definition hash
- f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -6.7551642034509
- Transformed
- -6.7551642034509
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- -0.33775821017254504
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -5
- Transformed
- -5
- Weight
- 0.3
- Contribution
- -1.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- offense.power_diff
- Version
- mlb-offense-rates-v1
- Raw
- 0.0214303038051315
- Transformed
- 0.0214303038051315
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- 0.0010715151902565751
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -3
- Transformed
- -3
- Weight
- 0.25
- Contribution
- -0.75
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- runs
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 2.36220472440945
- Transformed
- 2.36220472440945
- Weight
- 0.15
- Contribution
- 0.35433070866141747
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- -0.11601919341284
- Transformed
- -0.11601919341284
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -0.023203838682568003
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 19, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Loss
- Scores
- 3-5
- Correction
- —