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Verified forward forecast

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers

34421b34-ab98-4a42-844f-b1eea4cefe9d

Forecast
Sep 22, 2026, 3:18 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 22, 2026, 7:10 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
60.4%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 11 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
Definition hash
f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -1.75339955589797
    Transformed
    -1.75339955589797
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    -0.0876699777948985
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    5
    Transformed
    5
    Weight
    0.3
    Contribution
    1.5
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    offense.power_diff
    Version
    mlb-offense-rates-v1
    Raw
    0.014845082817563
    Transformed
    0.014845082817563
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    0.0007422541408781501
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -1
    Transformed
    -1
    Weight
    0.25
    Contribution
    -0.25
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    runs
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    3.39285714285714
    Transformed
    3.39285714285714
    Weight
    0.15
    Contribution
    0.508928571428571
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    0.107281540510214
    Transformed
    0.107281540510214
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    0.0214563081020428
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Sep 23, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Win
    Scores
    0-7
    Correction
    —