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Verified forward forecast

Minnesota Twins @ San Francisco Giants

2cbea889-1cd7-4e08-b5de-b5a0da3e559e

Forecast
Sep 21, 2026, 11:18 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 22, 2026, 6:45 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
56.8%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 6 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
Definition hash
f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    2.26658439273544
    Transformed
    2.26658439273544
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    0.113329219636772
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    5
    Transformed
    5
    Weight
    0.3
    Contribution
    1.5
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    offense.power_diff
    Version
    mlb-offense-rates-v1
    Raw
    0.000416262651869281
    Transformed
    0.000416262651869281
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    0.00002081313259346405
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    0
    Transformed
    0
    Weight
    0.25
    Contribution
    0
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    runs
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -3.38960231980116
    Transformed
    -3.38960231980116
    Weight
    0.15
    Contribution
    -0.5084403479701739
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    -0.0229563957342737
    Transformed
    -0.0229563957342737
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    -0.0045912791468547395
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Sep 23, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Loss
    Scores
    3-2
    Correction
    —