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Verified forward forecast

Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies

28048862-8f3e-430f-acb4-4a74b23db758

Forecast
Sep 21, 2026, 11:18 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 22, 2026, 3:40 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
55.9%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 7 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
Definition hash
f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -4.3569616458947
    Transformed
    -4.3569616458947
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    -0.21784808229473498
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    5
    Transformed
    5
    Weight
    0.3
    Contribution
    1.5
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    offense.power_diff
    Version
    mlb-offense-rates-v1
    Raw
    0.0179798777685313
    Transformed
    0.0179798777685313
    Weight
    0.05
    Contribution
    0.000898993888426565
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    1
    Transformed
    1
    Weight
    0.25
    Contribution
    0.25
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    runs
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -3.69718309859155
    Transformed
    -3.69718309859155
    Weight
    0.15
    Contribution
    -0.5545774647887325
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    -0.119797383956923
    Transformed
    -0.119797383956923
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    -0.023959476791384604
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Sep 23, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Win
    Scores
    4-6
    Correction
    —