Verified forward forecast
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
239800b3-3cc8-483f-aaa9-f9ea7a7cadb7
Forecast
Sep 19, 2026, 11:18 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 20, 2026, 10:10 AM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
57.9%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 3 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- My Strategy 001 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
- Definition hash
- f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 2.36126253915931
- Transformed
- 2.36126253915931
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- 0.1180631269579655
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 5
- Transformed
- 5
- Weight
- 0.3
- Contribution
- 1.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- offense.power_diff
- Version
- mlb-offense-rates-v1
- Raw
- -0.00264456076235139
- Transformed
- -0.00264456076235139
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- -0.0001322280381175695
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 0
- Transformed
- 0
- Weight
- 0.25
- Contribution
- 0
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- runs
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -2.27049910873441
- Transformed
- -2.27049910873441
- Weight
- 0.15
- Contribution
- -0.3405748663101615
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- -0.0457146206378055
- Transformed
- -0.0457146206378055
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -0.0091429241275611
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 20, 2026, 3:17 PM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Loss
- Scores
- 7-2
- Correction
- —