Verified forward forecast
Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies
21d38a92-7326-4b1d-9a48-ae676ebaf2c2
Forecast
Sep 24, 2026, 3:18 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 25, 2026, 3:40 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
59.7%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 7 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- My Strategy 001 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
- Definition hash
- f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -2.06009730086933
- Transformed
- -2.06009730086933
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- -0.10300486504346651
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 5
- Transformed
- 5
- Weight
- 0.3
- Contribution
- 1.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- offense.power_diff
- Version
- mlb-offense-rates-v1
- Raw
- 0.0162775431381811
- Transformed
- 0.0162775431381811
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- 0.000813877156909055
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 1
- Transformed
- 1
- Weight
- 0.25
- Contribution
- 0.25
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- runs
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -0.412208343153431
- Transformed
- -0.412208343153431
- Weight
- 0.15
- Contribution
- -0.06183125147301465
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- -0.0404689354049498
- Transformed
- -0.0404689354049498
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -0.008093787080989961
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 26, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Loss
- Scores
- 2-0
- Correction
- —