Verified forward forecast
Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies
203e5c6b-a259-479e-8394-64b32e40980a
Forecast
Sep 26, 2026, 3:17 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 26, 2026, 4:15 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
43.8%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 11 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- My Strategy 001 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
- Definition hash
- f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 2.57965085935083
- Transformed
- 2.57965085935083
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- 0.1289825429675415
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -5
- Transformed
- -5
- Weight
- 0.3
- Contribution
- -1.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- offense.power_diff
- Version
- mlb-offense-rates-v1
- Raw
- -0.0162775431381811
- Transformed
- -0.0162775431381811
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- -0.000813877156909055
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 1
- Transformed
- 1
- Weight
- 0.25
- Contribution
- 0.25
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- runs
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 0.821347926908875
- Transformed
- 0.821347926908875
- Weight
- 0.15
- Contribution
- 0.12320218903633125
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- 0.0440991761148622
- Transformed
- 0.0440991761148622
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- 0.00881983522297244
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 27, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Win
- Scores
- 12-1
- Correction
- —