Verified forward forecast
Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals
1eb9c9ff-1b88-4c89-a155-553273f63d3b
Forecast
Sep 24, 2026, 3:18 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 24, 2026, 11:10 AM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
58.3%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 8 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- My Strategy 001 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
- Definition hash
- f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -5.64071897259411
- Transformed
- -5.64071897259411
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- -0.2820359486297055
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 5
- Transformed
- 5
- Weight
- 0.3
- Contribution
- 1.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- offense.power_diff
- Version
- mlb-offense-rates-v1
- Raw
- -0.0184390533029108
- Transformed
- -0.0184390533029108
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- -0.0009219526651455401
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 3
- Transformed
- 3
- Weight
- 0.25
- Contribution
- 0.75
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- runs
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -4.05203760066798
- Transformed
- -4.05203760066798
- Weight
- 0.15
- Contribution
- -0.6078056401001969
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- -0.0808863437240884
- Transformed
- -0.0808863437240884
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -0.01617726874481768
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 24, 2026, 3:17 PM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Loss
- Scores
- 9-1
- Correction
- —