Verified forward forecast
Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals
07c1ed16-bde7-44f3-9c62-76b097f9b99b
Forecast
Sep 19, 2026, 11:18 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 20, 2026, 11:15 AM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
40.3%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 3 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- My Strategy 001 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
- Definition hash
- f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -1.80179583066884
- Transformed
- -1.80179583066884
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- -0.090089791533442
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -5
- Transformed
- -5
- Weight
- 0.3
- Contribution
- -1.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- offense.power_diff
- Version
- mlb-offense-rates-v1
- Raw
- 0.0414436634834157
- Transformed
- 0.0414436634834157
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- 0.002072183174170785
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -2
- Transformed
- -2
- Weight
- 0.25
- Contribution
- -0.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- runs
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 3.41911764705882
- Transformed
- 3.41911764705882
- Weight
- 0.15
- Contribution
- 0.5128676470588229
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- 0.0263092948338089
- Transformed
- 0.0263092948338089
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- 0.00526185896676178
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 20, 2026, 3:17 PM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Loss
- Scores
- 3-5
- Correction
- —