Verified forward forecast
Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers
001d03fe-63f0-41d7-a0ab-6876b94ba481
Forecast
Sep 21, 2026, 11:18 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 22, 2026, 3:40 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
39.5%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 6 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- My Strategy 001 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- e76c9215-c89a-4dac-871b-91517353ff95
- Definition hash
- f23eeb90bbbb3cafbb79f481e4ab5a911236546f00ac732ba6627eb21479bace
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -4.82259013644964
- Transformed
- -4.82259013644964
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- -0.24112950682248202
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -5
- Transformed
- -5
- Weight
- 0.3
- Contribution
- -1.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- offense.power_diff
- Version
- mlb-offense-rates-v1
- Raw
- 0.0209013147473467
- Transformed
- 0.0209013147473467
- Weight
- 0.05
- Contribution
- 0.001045065737367335
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -2
- Transformed
- -2
- Weight
- 0.25
- Contribution
- -0.5
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- runs
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 3.55633802816901
- Transformed
- 3.55633802816901
- Weight
- 0.15
- Contribution
- 0.5334507042253515
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- -0.030409947852358
- Transformed
- -0.030409947852358
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -0.0060819895704716
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 23, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Win
- Scores
- 3-1
- Correction
- —