Verified forward forecast
Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals
8827a747-ffa9-4f6d-a6a3-f584453020e7
Forecast
Sep 18, 2026, 3:18 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 18, 2026, 5:15 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
44.6%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 10 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- MLB Win the Game 1 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- 6257e93a-4b5a-45b5-b77a-b443114dff4a
- Definition hash
- e922456f59733c8ef5c5b23e4e4877f10cfd23b2952775bbfd214fba18e72bfb
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -1.75056945029817
- Transformed
- -1.75056945029817
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- -0.175056945029817
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -5
- Transformed
- -5
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -1
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 1
- Transformed
- 1
- Weight
- 0.3
- Contribution
- 0.3
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- 0.0162376313807712
- Transformed
- 0.0162376313807712
- Weight
- 0.4
- Contribution
- 0.006495052552308481
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 19, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Win
- Scores
- 9-1
- Correction
- —