Verified forward forecast
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees
d53dec3f-59b8-4aa1-a108-385264d7619c
Forecast
Sep 26, 2026, 3:18 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 27, 2026, 10:05 AM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
41.8%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Pending
Result
Pending
Market basis
Market median · 6 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- MLB Win the Game 2 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- 1e4433e5-2916-4647-8dc7-b221f3c16f17
- Definition hash
- 9b6d82c9768b69602013f86c2bddd7445a39fc98d2c7cd008a521daeb8e97324
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -3.17856459809065
- Transformed
- -3.17856459809065
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- -0.317856459809065
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -5
- Transformed
- -5
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -1
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 1
- Transformed
- 1
- Weight
- 0.4
- Contribution
- 0.4
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- record
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -3.90381033444717
- Transformed
- -3.90381033444717
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- -0.39038103344471703
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- -0.0970594312281405
- Transformed
- -0.0970594312281405
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -0.0194118862456281
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
No evidence recorded.