Verified forward forecast
Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
ca3fb76b-7465-49a0-984c-9f1e588f1d1c
Forecast
Sep 18, 2026, 1:43 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 19, 2026, 3:40 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
58.6%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 5 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- MLB Win the Game 2 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- 1e4433e5-2916-4647-8dc7-b221f3c16f17
- Definition hash
- 9b6d82c9768b69602013f86c2bddd7445a39fc98d2c7cd008a521daeb8e97324
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 3.29733798497825
- Transformed
- 3.29733798497825
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- 0.329733798497825
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 5
- Transformed
- 5
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- 1
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -1
- Transformed
- -1
- Weight
- 0.4
- Contribution
- -0.4
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- record
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 4.41104808525047
- Transformed
- 4.41104808525047
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- 0.441104808525047
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- 0.0747137926065221
- Transformed
- 0.0747137926065221
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- 0.01494275852130442
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 20, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Win
- Scores
- 5-6
- Correction
- —