Verified forward forecast
Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles
ba4228e6-324b-4975-8de4-3e4f39539733
Forecast
Sep 21, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 21, 2026, 3:35 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
50.6%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 11 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- MLB Win the Game 2 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- 1e4433e5-2916-4647-8dc7-b221f3c16f17
- Definition hash
- 9b6d82c9768b69602013f86c2bddd7445a39fc98d2c7cd008a521daeb8e97324
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 0.934716455348908
- Transformed
- 0.934716455348908
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- 0.0934716455348908
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -5
- Transformed
- -5
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -1
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 2
- Transformed
- 2
- Weight
- 0.4
- Contribution
- 0.8
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- record
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 2.08194776077565
- Transformed
- 2.08194776077565
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- 0.208194776077565
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- -0.0129802101304194
- Transformed
- -0.0129802101304194
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -0.00259604202608388
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 22, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Loss
- Scores
- 3-4
- Correction
- —