Skip to content
Pascal Institute
Mobile navigation

Verified forward forecast

Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles

ad067e4e-c3d7-451e-8016-223056965174

Forecast
Sep 18, 2026, 1:43 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 18, 2026, 4:05 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
52.1%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 10 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
1e4433e5-2916-4647-8dc7-b221f3c16f17
Definition hash
9b6d82c9768b69602013f86c2bddd7445a39fc98d2c7cd008a521daeb8e97324
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -1.77281814554163
    Transformed
    -1.77281814554163
    Weight
    0.1
    Contribution
    -0.17728181455416303
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    5
    Transformed
    5
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    1
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    0
    Transformed
    0
    Weight
    0.4
    Contribution
    0
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    record
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -4.62553599718893
    Transformed
    -4.62553599718893
    Weight
    0.1
    Contribution
    -0.462553599718893
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    -0.13959861454277
    Transformed
    -0.13959861454277
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    -0.027919722908554004
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Sep 19, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Loss
    Scores
    6-5
    Correction
    —