Verified forward forecast
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
a7c53356-5b92-492b-80fd-eba19a80baed
Forecast
Sep 18, 2026, 1:43 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 18, 2026, 4:15 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
55.9%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 10 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- MLB Win the Game 2 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- 1e4433e5-2916-4647-8dc7-b221f3c16f17
- Definition hash
- 9b6d82c9768b69602013f86c2bddd7445a39fc98d2c7cd008a521daeb8e97324
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 2.30927255559152
- Transformed
- 2.30927255559152
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- 0.230927255559152
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 5
- Transformed
- 5
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- 1
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 0
- Transformed
- 0
- Weight
- 0.4
- Contribution
- 0
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- record
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -2.79741236863453
- Transformed
- -2.79741236863453
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- -0.27974123686345304
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- -0.0502115304532739
- Transformed
- -0.0502115304532739
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -0.010042306090654781
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 19, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Win
- Scores
- 3-6
- Correction
- —