Verified forward forecast
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves
a2f215af-1f10-412d-8a58-b6368a66af7c
Forecast
Sep 29, 2026, 3:17 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 30, 2026, 11:00 AM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
62.8%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 11 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- MLB Win the Game 2 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- 1e4433e5-2916-4647-8dc7-b221f3c16f17
- Definition hash
- 9b6d82c9768b69602013f86c2bddd7445a39fc98d2c7cd008a521daeb8e97324
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 6.9404309533967
- Transformed
- 6.9404309533967
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- 0.6940430953396701
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 5
- Transformed
- 5
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- 1
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 0
- Transformed
- 0
- Weight
- 0.4
- Contribution
- 0
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- record
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 3.88995526567912
- Transformed
- 3.88995526567912
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- 0.38899552656791203
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- 0.0799554627413247
- Transformed
- 0.0799554627413247
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- 0.015991092548264942
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 30, 2026, 3:17 PM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Loss
- Scores
- 4-3
- Correction
- —