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Verified forward forecast

Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros

a1bc9063-e2cb-45cf-9ee8-38b2a3a43b37

Forecast
Sep 18, 2026, 1:43 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 19, 2026, 4:10 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
51.3%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 6 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
1e4433e5-2916-4647-8dc7-b221f3c16f17
Definition hash
9b6d82c9768b69602013f86c2bddd7445a39fc98d2c7cd008a521daeb8e97324
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -3.51948103417516
    Transformed
    -3.51948103417516
    Weight
    0.1
    Contribution
    -0.35194810341751603
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    5
    Transformed
    5
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    1
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    0
    Transformed
    0
    Weight
    0.4
    Contribution
    0
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    record
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -4.21880281339905
    Transformed
    -4.21880281339905
    Weight
    0.1
    Contribution
    -0.42188028133990496
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    -0.116379209146783
    Transformed
    -0.116379209146783
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    -0.023275841829356603
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Sep 20, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Loss
    Scores
    6-3
    Correction
    —