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Verified forward forecast

Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals

8ef708e5-b087-457f-b461-fe34ba3b6803

Forecast
Sep 24, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 24, 2026, 11:10 AM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
42.3%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 8 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
1e4433e5-2916-4647-8dc7-b221f3c16f17
Definition hash
9b6d82c9768b69602013f86c2bddd7445a39fc98d2c7cd008a521daeb8e97324
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    5.64071897259411
    Transformed
    5.64071897259411
    Weight
    0.1
    Contribution
    0.564071897259411
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -5
    Transformed
    -5
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    -1
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -3
    Transformed
    -3
    Weight
    0.4
    Contribution
    -1.2000000000000002
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    record
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    3.79859024791668
    Transformed
    3.79859024791668
    Weight
    0.1
    Contribution
    0.379859024791668
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    0.0808863437240884
    Transformed
    0.0808863437240884
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    0.01617726874481768
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Sep 24, 2026, 3:17 PM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Win
    Scores
    9-1
    Correction
    —