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Verified forward forecast

Minnesota Twins @ San Francisco Giants

743a9ea4-dcea-49f5-94cf-7f7886badd1f

Forecast
Sep 21, 2026, 11:18 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 22, 2026, 6:45 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
44.0%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 6 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
1e4433e5-2916-4647-8dc7-b221f3c16f17
Definition hash
9b6d82c9768b69602013f86c2bddd7445a39fc98d2c7cd008a521daeb8e97324
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -2.26658439273544
    Transformed
    -2.26658439273544
    Weight
    0.1
    Contribution
    -0.226658439273544
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -5
    Transformed
    -5
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    -1
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    0
    Transformed
    0
    Weight
    0.4
    Contribution
    0
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    record
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    2.60212731297414
    Transformed
    2.60212731297414
    Weight
    0.1
    Contribution
    0.260212731297414
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    0.0229563957342737
    Transformed
    0.0229563957342737
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    0.0045912791468547395
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Sep 23, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Win
    Scores
    3-2
    Correction
    —