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Verified forward forecast

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers

5b45b8e9-f964-43ab-856f-cb223633d8d0

Forecast
Sep 22, 2026, 3:17 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 22, 2026, 7:10 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
55.3%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 11 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
1e4433e5-2916-4647-8dc7-b221f3c16f17
Definition hash
9b6d82c9768b69602013f86c2bddd7445a39fc98d2c7cd008a521daeb8e97324
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -1.75339955589797
    Transformed
    -1.75339955589797
    Weight
    0.1
    Contribution
    -0.175339955589797
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    5
    Transformed
    5
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    1
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -1
    Transformed
    -1
    Weight
    0.4
    Contribution
    -0.4
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    record
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    4.09265525281326
    Transformed
    4.09265525281326
    Weight
    0.1
    Contribution
    0.409265525281326
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    0.107281540510214
    Transformed
    0.107281540510214
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    0.0214563081020428
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Sep 23, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Win
    Scores
    0-7
    Correction
    —