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Verified forward forecast

Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins

30299fdb-6162-408d-88d4-60f7a7e18676

Forecast
Sep 24, 2026, 3:18 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 25, 2026, 5:10 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
49.5%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 8 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
1e4433e5-2916-4647-8dc7-b221f3c16f17
Definition hash
9b6d82c9768b69602013f86c2bddd7445a39fc98d2c7cd008a521daeb8e97324
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -1.65494402816869
    Transformed
    -1.65494402816869
    Weight
    0.1
    Contribution
    -0.165494402816869
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    5
    Transformed
    5
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    1
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -2
    Transformed
    -2
    Weight
    0.4
    Contribution
    -0.8
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    record
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -1.20468271342436
    Transformed
    -1.20468271342436
    Weight
    0.1
    Contribution
    -0.12046827134243601
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    0.00184942031059182
    Transformed
    0.00184942031059182
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    0.000369884062118364
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Sep 26, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Win
    Scores
    2-10
    Correction
    —