Verified forward forecast
Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays
2d8a4894-58dd-444a-a260-67b4c0ead5b8
Forecast
Sep 26, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 26, 2026, 12:07 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
65.1%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 11 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- MLB Win the Game 2 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- 1e4433e5-2916-4647-8dc7-b221f3c16f17
- Definition hash
- 9b6d82c9768b69602013f86c2bddd7445a39fc98d2c7cd008a521daeb8e97324
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 5.79611072642504
- Transformed
- 5.79611072642504
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- 0.579611072642504
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 5
- Transformed
- 5
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- 1
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 2
- Transformed
- 2
- Weight
- 0.4
- Contribution
- 0.8
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- record
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- 1.0610818658022
- Transformed
- 1.0610818658022
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- 0.10610818658022002
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- 0.0771280228442576
- Transformed
- 0.0771280228442576
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- 0.01542560456885152
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 26, 2026, 3:17 PM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Loss
- Scores
- 5-1
- Correction
- —