Skip to content
Pascal Institute
Mobile navigation

Verified forward forecast

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

29dac8c4-33c5-48b9-92d1-19e431ffbb13

Forecast
Sep 19, 2026, 11:18 AM PDT
Locked
Sep 20, 2026, 11:10 AM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Home
Probability
54.4%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Win
Market basis
Market median · 3 books

Immutable evidence identity

This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.

Strategy version ID
1e4433e5-2916-4647-8dc7-b221f3c16f17
Definition hash
9b6d82c9768b69602013f86c2bddd7445a39fc98d2c7cd008a521daeb8e97324
Calculation version
strategy-engine-forward-v1
Lock rule
scheduled-start-v1
Forecast origin
Scheduled forward

Feature evidence

  • Feature
    bullpen
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    0.360650876517757
    Transformed
    0.360650876517757
    Weight
    0.1
    Contribution
    0.036065087651775705
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    location
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    5
    Transformed
    5
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    1
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    pitcher
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    -1
    Transformed
    -1
    Weight
    0.4
    Contribution
    -0.4
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    record
    Version
    mlb-pregame-v1
    Raw
    0.770183047807178
    Transformed
    0.770183047807178
    Weight
    0.1
    Contribution
    0.0770183047807178
    Availability
    Available
  • Feature
    team_strength.pythagorean_diff
    Version
    mlb-pythagorean-v1
    Raw
    -0.0346976040413288
    Transformed
    -0.0346976040413288
    Weight
    0.2
    Contribution
    -0.006939520808265761
    Availability
    Available

Lifecycle history

  • Time
    Sep 21, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
    Event
    Graded
    Reason
    Official result
    Result
    Win
    Scores
    1-8
    Correction
    —