Verified forward forecast
Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians
25d1c810-2108-448b-84cb-4a89519d2531
Forecast
Sep 18, 2026, 1:43 PM PDT
Locked
Sep 18, 2026, 4:10 PM PDT
Market
Moneyline · Away
Probability
30.6%
Eligibility
Eligible before lock
Lifecycle
Graded
Result
Loss
Market basis
Market median · 10 books
Immutable evidence identity
This forecast remains attached to the exact model version that produced it. Later model changes cannot rewrite this record.
- Model version
- MLB Win the Game 2 · Version 1
- Strategy version ID
- 1e4433e5-2916-4647-8dc7-b221f3c16f17
- Definition hash
- 9b6d82c9768b69602013f86c2bddd7445a39fc98d2c7cd008a521daeb8e97324
- Calculation version
- strategy-engine-forward-v1
- Lock rule
- scheduled-start-v1
- Forecast origin
- Scheduled forward
Feature evidence
- Feature
- bullpen
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -6.7551642034509
- Transformed
- -6.7551642034509
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- -0.6755164203450901
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- location
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -5
- Transformed
- -5
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -1
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- pitcher
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -3
- Transformed
- -3
- Weight
- 0.4
- Contribution
- -1.2000000000000002
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- record
- Version
- mlb-pregame-v1
- Raw
- -3.81361289186564
- Transformed
- -3.81361289186564
- Weight
- 0.1
- Contribution
- -0.38136128918656403
- Availability
- Available
- Feature
- team_strength.pythagorean_diff
- Version
- mlb-pythagorean-v1
- Raw
- -0.11601919341284
- Transformed
- -0.11601919341284
- Weight
- 0.2
- Contribution
- -0.023203838682568003
- Availability
- Available
Lifecycle history
- Time
- Sep 19, 2026, 3:17 AM PDT
- Event
- Graded
- Reason
- Official result
- Result
- Loss
- Scores
- 3-5
- Correction
- —